Thu Mar 27, 1:26 PM Pacific • posted by Jed Lewison
Don't pay much attention...
...to the daily tracking polls.
I know that Obama is leading Clinton in the Gallup Daily by four points. That's nice.
But it doesn't matter. a) Most voters have already voted and Obama has already won amongst those voters. b) Even if they hadn't voted, has any poll actually been on the money this entire campaign (only a slight exaggeration). c) Most of the changes we're seeing in these polls is purely random. Trust me on this point -- I live in Vegas and play poker. I know random, and I know skill. And this is mostly random.