Is it okay if I change my mind? Gallup +7. Rasmussen +6.
Actually, I'll claim consistency on this: my concern was when both of those polls were moving in opposite directions. Now that they are both moving in the same direction, each with healthy leads, we could be seeing something real.
Then again, it could still be luck. I do live in Las Vegas after all...
Update: Obama has pulled ahead of McCain in the RCP average for the first time in quite awhile. Clinton still trails.
© Jed Lewison