Sat Mar 22, 11:58 AM Pacific • posted by Jed Lewison

Trading places

So for the past week week or so, Barack Obama had fallen behind Hillary Clinton in the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll -- but now he's regained his lead. On the other hand, Hillary Clinton today regained the lead in the Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll for the first time since March 9. It's pretty funny and a reminder that the explanation for a lot of the "trends" we see in polls is the same thing that allows people to occasional beat the casinos: random chance.

Meanwhile, the so-called "honesty gap" between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, not to mention and Hillary Clinton and John McCain, is just enormous. If she were to manage to stage a superdelegate coup, her credibility crisis would pose a serious challenge for her to overcome.