Tue Apr 8, 9:15 AM Pacific • posted by Jed Lewison

Let's go on strike after Pennsylvania

Even if Clinton wins 56% of the remaining delegates -- a near impossibility -- she'd still need 65% of the uncommitted superdelegates to stage a coup. That's not going to happen.

Two more weeks until Pennsylvania, which means in two more weeks it could be all over. If Clinton doesn't manage to get 60% of Pennsylvania's delegates, she will have absolutely no path to the nomination.

I think the press will set 55% as the key benchmark, which is far too generous, so they will probably continue paying attention to Clinton, but her small flicker of hope will be completely extinguished if she falls short of 60%.

But even though the press will be paying the irrelevant Hillary Clinton attention, we don't have to. So here's my proposal:

Let's go on strike against talking about Hillary Clinton as a political opponent if she doesn't get at least 60% of the delegates in Pennsylvania. For the balance of the month of April, we will not mention her name as a candidate for the 2008 Democratic nomination. We can then reevaluate in May.

What do you think? If she can't win enough delegates to attain relevancy, it'll time be time we focused on McSame, eh?

Update (via Andrew Sullivan): More evidence that Clinton is unlikely to hit the 60% threshold. Quinnipiac gives her a 50-44 lead, down slightly from her 50-41 lead last week -- and women may be moving towards Obama.

Update II: Two more polls, one by Rasmussen and one by SurveyUSA. Rasmussen has it as 48-43 for Clinton; SurveyUSA has it as 56-38 -- a huge 18 point lead. As Carthage notes in the comments, SurveyUSA has a track record as one of the most accurate pollsters out there, adding:

HRC rising in PA.  We need to keep working like we are 30 points behind, and not let the expectations be raised!