Posted by Jed Lewison on Mon Apr 28, 2008 at 5:34 AM Pacific

Obama Campaign Poised to Declare Victory Next Week

I just got a fundraising e-mail from the Obama campaign (you probably did too if you're on the bulk e-mail lists). In the e-mail, for the first time that I've seen, the campaign talks about next week's primaries as potential game enders.

"Next week," the e-mail reads, "we have the opportunity to close out this race and secure the nomination for Barack." (Emphasis added.)

Next week, of course, there are primaries in North Carolina and Indiana. Based on the e-mail, it sounds as if the campaign is ready to declare victory in the nomination battle if Barack wins both.

Assuming Barack wins both states, even if Clinton doesn't immediately withdraw, all indications are that  there will be a superdelegate stampede in his direction. Combined with his pledged delegate lead, he will then have an insurmountable overall delegate lead, and the race will finally be over. The celebration can begin.

(Clinton has already hinted that she might drop out if she loses Indiana, and on Meet the Press, Andrea Mitchell said Clinton would drop out within two or three days of losing.)

As a superstitious baseball fan, I feel compelled to knock on wood and once again say that I don't think Obama will win in Indiana. (Don't shoot -- I'm saying that for superstitious reasons!) No matter what I think, I have a feeling that for the campaign to be talking like this they must have some polling suggesting some pretty good numbers in Indiana. Even if he doesn't win though, he still has this thing wrapped up.

Finally, on a personal note, my birthday is next week and I can't imagine a better gift from the people of Indiana and my home state of North Carolina (I was born in Chapel Hill). Nothing would be more sweet than ending this thing and moving on to McSame -- and then, next January, President Obama!

By the way, here's a a screen capture of the e-mail and a link to the donation page on barackobama.com.

Obama Campaign Poised to Declare Victory Next Week

I just got a fundraising e-mail from the Obama campaign (you probably did too if you're on the bulk e-mail lists). In the e-mail, for the first time that I've seen, the campaign talks about next week's primaries as potential game enders.

"Next week," the e-mail reads, "we have the opportunity to close out this race and secure the nomination for Barack." (Emphasis added.)

Next week, of course, there are primaries in North Carolina and Indiana. Based on the e-mail, it sounds as if the campaign is ready to declare victory in the nomination battle if Barack wins both.

Assuming Barack wins both states, even if Clinton doesn't immediately withdraw, all indications are that  there will be a superdelegate stampede in his direction. Combined with his pledged delegate lead, he will then have an insurmountable overall delegate lead, and the race will finally be over. The celebration can begin.

(Clinton has already hinted that she might drop out if she loses Indiana, and on Meet the Press, Andrea Mitchell said Clinton would drop out within two or three days of losing.)

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