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Mon Apr 21, 9:47 PM Pacific

Polling averages in Ohio vs. Pennsylvania

We'll know who won Pennsylvania soon enough, but speculation can be fun. So let's take a look at the polling averages, using the Ohio as a point of comparison.

For polls completed on the Sunday or Monday before each contest:

  • In Pennsylvania, Clinton leads 50%-43% (7 points)
  • In Ohio, Clinton led 51%-43% (8 points)

During the week before the final Sunday and Monday of each campaign:

  • In Pennsylvania, Clinton led 49%-42% (7 points)
  • In Ohio, Clinton led 48%-43% (5 points)

So the good news is unlike in Ohio, Clinton doesn't seem to have momentum. The bad news is that the numbers were about the same in Ohio as they are now in Pennsylvania.

What does this all mean? I'll tell you on Wednesday.

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