Posted by Jed Lewison on Mon May 5, 2008 at 12:37 PM Pacific

So much for Zogby's Indiana numbers

Well, unfortunately, it seems pretty clear that Zogby's Indiana numbers from the past few days were indeed illusory. From pollster.com, here's the four most recent polls, all of which were concluded yesterday:

  • ARG: Clinton +8, 53-45
  • Suffolk: Clinton +6, 49-43
  • SurveyUSA: Clinton +12, 54-42
  • Zogby: Obama +2, 44-42

Here's the North Carolina roundup:

  • ARG: Obama +8, 50-42
  • InsiderAdvantage: Obama +3, 48-45
  • PPP: Obama +10, 53-43
  • Zogby: Obama +8, 48-40

So, looks like the expected is most likely to happen: Clinton wins Indiana, Obama wins North Carolina.

Updated numbers:

  • North Carolina, SurveyUSA: Obama +5, 50-45
  • Indiana, PPP: Clinton +5, 51-46
So much for Zogby's Indiana numbers

Well, unfortunately, it seems pretty clear that Zogby's Indiana numbers from the past few days were indeed illusory. From pollster.com, here's the four most recent polls, all of which were concluded yesterday:

  • ARG: Clinton +8, 53-45
  • Suffolk: Clinton +6, 49-43
  • SurveyUSA: Clinton +12, 54-42
  • Zogby: Obama +2, 44-42

Here's the North Carolina roundup:

  • ARG: Obama +8, 50-42
  • InsiderAdvantage: Obama +3, 48-45
  • PPP: Obama +10, 53-43
  • Zogby: Obama +8, 48-40

So, looks like the expected is most likely to happen: Clinton wins Indiana, Obama wins North Carolina.

Updated numbers:

  • North Carolina, SurveyUSA: Obama +5, 50-45
  • Indiana, PPP: Clinton +5, 51-46

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