Barack Obama earlier today in Manchester, NH:
Awarded to John McCain by The Fact Checker (Michael Dobbs of WaPo):
Here's a tough new memo to the media from the Obama campaign:
### ### ###
To: Press Corps
From: Obama Campaign
Re: Unraveling the myth of the Straight Talk ExpressSince naming Governor Palin as their Vice Presidential nominee, the McCain campaign has distorted, distracted, and outright lied to the American people about her record in a desperate attempt to hide the fact that a McCain/Palin Administration would be nothing more than a continuation of the failed Bush policies of the last eight years.
Continued below:
Indeed, today alone we learned that the McCain campaign's claim that Governor Palin traveled to Iraq is a lie. In fact, she didn't cross the Kuwait border. We learned that the McCain campaign is desperate enough to tell the press phony crowd numbers, which they falsely attributed to local elected officials and the United States Secret Service. And we learned that despite Senator McCain's claim that Governor Palin is a fiscal conservative, spending actually increased during her brief tenure as Governor.
Here are the facts. Governor Palin supported the Bridge to Nowhere, requested hundreds of millions of dollars in earmarks, never visited Iraq, increased spending as governor, increased taxes as governor, and was about as successful selling that luxury jet on eBay as the McCain campaign has been selling her reputation as a reformer. Oh yeah, and the gas pipeline she touts won't be usable for at least a decade, if it's completed at all.
While the media is slowly starting to call the McCain campaign on their dishonest tactics, McCain's staff boasts that they don't care. As a McCain spokesman told the Politico, "We're running a campaign to win. And we're not too concerned about what the media filter tries to say about it."
To help you cut through their lies and spin, below are the facts you need to set the record straight.
::: :::
McCain Myth: Palin Visited Troops In Iraq
FACT: Palin Did Not Venture Further Into Iraq Than It's Border With Kuwait
"In The Second Official Revision Of Her Only Trip Outside North America," Palin Aides Concede That Her 2007 Visit To Iraq "Consisted Of A Brief Stop At A Border Crossing." "Sarah Palin's visit to Iraq in 2007 consisted of a brief stop at a border crossing between Iraq and Kuwait, the vice presidential candidate's campaign said yesterday, in the second official revision of her only trip outside North America. Following her selection last month as John McCain's running mate, aides said Palin had traveled to Ireland, Germany, Kuwait, and Iraq to meet with members of the Alaska National Guard. During that trip she was said to have visited a 'military outpost' inside Iraq. The campaign has since repeated that Palin's foreign travel included an excursion into the Iraq battle zone. But in response to queries about the details of her trip, campaign aides and National Guard officials in Alaska said by telephone yesterday that she did not venture beyond the Kuwait-Iraq border when she visited Khabari Alawazem Crossing, also known as 'K-Crossing,' on July 25, 2007...It was the second such clarification in as many weeks of the itinerary of what Palin has called 'the trip of a lifetime.' Earlier, the campaign acknowledged that Palin made only a refueling stop in Ireland." [Boston Globe, 9/13/08]
::: :::
McCain Myth: McCain's Appearance Drew Crowd of 23,000 to Event
FACT: Crowd-Size Estimates Provided By Campaign Aides Not Backed By Officials.
Bloomberg: "McCain-Plain Crowd-Size Estimates Not Backed By Officials." "Senator John McCain has drawn some of the biggest crowds of his presidential campaign since adding Alaska Governor Sarah Palin to his ticket on Aug. 29. Now officials say they can't substantiate the figures McCain's aides are claiming. McCain aide Kimmie Lipscomb told reporters on Sept. 10 that an outdoor rally in Fairfax City, Virginia, drew 23,000 people, attributing the crowd estimate to a fire marshal. Fairfax City Fire Marshal Andrew Wilson said his office did not supply that number to the campaign and could not confirm it. Wilson, in an interview, said the fire department does not monitor attendance at outdoor events. ... The McCain campaign said 10,000 people showed up at the Consol Energy Arena in Washington, Pennsylvania, home of the Washington Wild Things baseball team. The campaign attributed that estimate, and several that followed, to U.S. Secret Service figures, based on the number of people who passed through magnetometers. 'We didn't provide any numbers to the campaign,' said Malcolm Wiley, a spokesman for the U.S. Secret Service. Wiley said he would not 'confirm or dispute' the numbers the McCain campaign has given to reporters." [Bloomberg, 9/13/08]
::: :::
McCain Myth: Palin Is a Fiscal Conservative
FACT: Palin Has Grown Government in Her Time as Executive of Both Alaska And Wasilla
Boston Globe: "Fueled by Oil Taxes, Alaska Spending Soared Under Palin." "Governor Sarah Palin of Alaska has also presided over a dramatic increase in state spending in the last two years. Still, she can accurately claim that her state is in good fiscal health, thanks to an explosion of revenues from state taxes on oil industry profits. Indeed, in her 20 months in office, Palin's toughest financial decisions involved dickering with the Legislature on creative ways to spend and salt away the billions of dollars in oil revenues pouring into the state treasury." [Boston Globe, 9/13/08]
- In Two Budget Cycles, Palin Only Vetoed $2.6 Million In Spending Requests For Alaska's $8.1 Billion Operating Budget - Which Has Increased 30 Percent In Two Years. "...in two budget cycles, Palin has vetoed a total of only $2.6 million in spending requests for the state's now $8.1 billion annual operating budget, which, according to an analysis by the legislative finance office, has increased about 30 percent in two years. The increase figure includes the one-time energy rebate checks but no increases in reserve accounts or any capital expenditures. It also doesn't include a supplemental appropriation for additional expenditures, which is routine. Last year, the supplemental budget was more than $4 billion, mostly deposits in reserve accounts when revenues continued to pour in at high levels." [Boston Globe, 9/13/08]
Wasilla's Total Government Expenditures Increased 63 Percent Under Palin. In fiscal 2003-the last fiscal year Palin approved the budget-the total government expenditures of Wasilla, excluding capital outlays, were $7,046,325. In fiscal 1996-the year before Palin took control of the budget-the expenditures were $4,317,947. The increase was 63 percent. [Wasilla Comprehensive Annual Financial Report 2003, Table 1]
::: :::
McCain Myth: Palin Has Succeeded in Signing a Deal to Build Alaska's Long-Stalled Gas Pipeline
FACTS: High Gas Prices Have Given Alaska a Huge Windfall, Passed on to Alaskans Like Sarah Palin in Huge Dividend Checks - And Palin Has Backed Shipping Alaskan Natural Gas to Asia
Palin Touts Her Pipeline Deal, But It Has Not been Started, Would Take Years to Complete and Could Never Happen, Costing Taxpayers $500 Million for Nothing. "When Gov. Sarah Palin of Alaska took center stage at the Republican convention last week, she sought to burnish her executive credentials by telling how she had engineered the deal that jump-started a long-delayed gas pipeline project... But an examination of the pipeline project also found that Ms. Palin has overstated both the progress that has been made and the certainty of success. The pipeline exists only on paper. The first section has yet to be laid, federal approvals are years away and the pipeline will not be completed for at least a decade. In fact, although it is the centerpiece of Ms. Palin's relatively brief record as governor, the pipeline might never be built, and under a worst-case scenario, the state could lose up to $500 million it committed to defray regulatory and other costs." [New York Times, 9/13/08]
- Republican Lawmaker Worried Alaska Bargained Away Too Much Leverage, Has No Agreement to "Lift One Shovel of Dirt or Lay Down One Inch of Steel." "As Ms. Palin takes to the road to campaign with Mr. McCain, invoking the pipeline as a major victory, some Alaska lawmakers who initially endorsed her plan now believe it was a mistake. State Senator Bert Stedman, a Republican who is co-chairman of the finance committee, said that in its contract with the chosen developer, TransCanada, the state bargained away too much leverage with little guarantee of success. 'There is no requirement to lift one shovel of dirt or lay down one inch of steel,' he said." [New York Times, 9/13/08]
::: :::
McCain Myth: Palin's Energy Experience Will Lower Gas Prices and Reduce Our Dependence on Foreign Oil
FACTS: High Gas Prices Have Given Alaska a Huge Windfall, Passed on to Alaskans Like Sarah Palin in Huge Dividend Checks - And Palin Has Backed Shipping Alaskan Natural Gas to Asia
Thanks To "Soaring Oil Prices And A Higher Windfall Oil Profits Tax," Alaska's State Coffers Are "Overflowing With Petrodollars." "Soaring oil prices and a higher windfall oil profits tax - an increase pushed through by Palin, now the Republican vice presidential nominee - have state coffers overflowing with petrodollars. The Alaska oil industry calculates that its annual payments to the state doubled in a single year to $10.2 billion." [Boston Globe, 9/13/08]
- Every Alaskan Receiving $1,200 From The State, Along With Annual Check From The Permanent Fund, Which Is A Record $2,069 Per Resident This Year - Palin Family Eligible For $19,000. "And Alaska residents are getting their cut. Starting this week, every Alaskan who has lived in the state more than a year will receive $1,200 from the state, a total of about $756 million in rebates to offset high energy costs in the 49th state. That's on top of the perennial check each will receive from the state's oil revenue-endowed Permanent Fund, this year a record $2,069 per resident. The large Palin family is eligible to receive more than $19,000 from the combined payments." [Boston Globe, 9/13/08]
Palin Backed A Two-Year Extension Of The Export License To Export Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) To Japan And Other Asian Countries-Criticized Because Alaska's Gas Reserves Are Declining. "Alaska producers can continue shipping gas to Asia after DOE last week approved an extension of the export license for the Kenai liquefied natural gas plant owned by ConocoPhillips and Marathon. The companies will be allowed to export up to 98.1 Bcf to Japan and other Pacific Rim countries over a two-year period through March 31, 2011. [...] The application came under fire from local end-users, including gas distribution companies Enstar and the Chugach Electric Association, as well as fertilizer maker Agrium, all of which claimed the exports would exacerbate the problem of declining gas reserves in south-central Alaska. Agrium permanently closed its plant near Kenai due to an inability to find enough local supply for the facility that used 53 Bcf/year. In January, ConocoPhillips and Marathon reached a deal in which they agreed to step up development in the Cook Inlet region in return for the state's support of the export license extension. The producers also agreed to divert gas from the LNG plant as needed to meet the peak winter supply needs of the local utilities. [...] Alaska Governor Sarah Palin welcomed the DOE approval. "In these times of economic uncertainty, this is great news for the state and its residents. This extension will secure a future for the LNG operation and is another step toward ensuring energy supplies and energy security for Alaska," the Republican governor said. [Platts Inside FERC, 6/9/08]
::: :::
McCain Palin Myth: Sarah Palin Told Congress "Thanks But No Thanks" On That Bridge to Nowhere
FACT: Palin Was Before It Before She Was Against It - Kept the Money for Other Projects
Politifact: Palin's Stance On "The Bridge To Nowhere" Is "A Full Flop." Politfact, a service of CQ and the St. Petersburg Times wrote, "McCain said Palin has 'stopped government from wasting taxpayers' money on things they don't want or need. And when we in Congress decided to build a bridge in Alaska to nowhere for $233-million of yours, she said, we don't want it. If we need it, we'll build our own in Alaska. She's the one that stood up to them.' Nevermind that Alaska didn't give the money back. It spent the money on other transportation projects. The context of Palin's and McCain's recent statements suggest Palin flagged the so-called Bridge to Nowhere project as wasteful spending. But that's not the tune she was singing when she was running for governor, particularly not when she was standing before the Ketchikan Chamber of Commerce asking for their vote. And so, we rate Palin's position a Full Flop." [Politifact]
::: :::
McCain Myth: Sarah Palin NEVER Sought Earmarks As Governor.
FACT: Palin Sought Nearly $200 Million Earmarks For The Coming Year.
AP Fact Check: McCain "Erroneously" Asserted That, As Governor, Palin Never Sought Earmarks. "John McCain continued to laud his running mate, Sarah Palin, as a budget cutter on Friday, this time erroneously asserting that as governor of Alaska she had not sought congressional earmarks for her state. In fact, while Palin has significantly reduced the state's earmark requests, she asked for nearly $200 million in targeted spending for the 2009 fiscal year. And in an interview with ABC News aired Friday, she defended her earmark requests, emphasizing that she opposed 'earmark abuse.' ... Appearing on the ABC television show 'The View,' McCain was pressed on her record of seeking such targeted money for Alaska. 'Not as governor she didn't,' McCain said. McCain spokesman Brian Rogers said that McCain's remark came 'in the middle of a conversation, the middle of a back and forth,' and the reference was to her record of cutting spending." [AP, 9/12/08]
McCain Myth: Sarah Palin Has Taken a Tough Stance Against Earmarks
FACT: As Mayor, Palin Hired a Lobbyist Tied to Ted Stevens Who Got Wasilla $27 Million in Earmarks and as Governor, Alaska Has Sought and Received More Earmarked Spending Per Person than Any Other State
Lobbyist Hired By Palin Secured $27 Million In Federal Earmarks for 6,700-Person Town. "Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin employed a lobbying firm to secure almost $27 million in federal earmarks for a town of 6,700 residents while she was its mayor, according to an analysis by an independent government watchdog group." [Washington Post, 9/2/08]
In 2008, Alaska Got More Earmarked Federal Funding Per Person Than Any Other State. "Arizona, the second fastest growing state in the nation, will receive just $18.70 per capita in federal earmarks this fiscal year. By comparison, Alaska - with roughly a tenth of Arizona's population - is set to receive $506.34 per capita, the highest in the nation, according to Taxpayers for Common Sense, a watchdog group which tracks earmarks. The state of Alaska receives about three times as much as Arizona receives in actual dollars, $346 million to $119 million." [USA Today, 3/22/08]
Palin's Requests - More Per Person Than Any Other State. "Just this year, she sent to Sen. Ted. Stevens, R-Alaska, a proposal for 31 earmarks totaling $197 million - more, per person, than any other state." [Seattle Times, 9/2/08]
::: :::
McCain Myth: Palin Cut Taxes
FACT: Palin Raised Wasilla's Sales Tax
Palin Supported First-Ever Wasilla Sales Tax to Pay for Police Department. In 1992 "Palin, a political newcomer, was one of two supporters of the police-sales tax plan elected to the city council in Wasilla, Alaska." [Anchorage Daily News (AK), 10/8/92]
Palin Supported Increasing Wasilla Sales Tax From 2 to 2.5 Percent to Build $14.7 Million Sports Center. "Wasilla residents have given the go ahead to building a new multiuse sports center in town and to raising the city sales tax to pay for it. With the final votes counted Friday, residents voted 306 to 286 in favor of a measure to raise the city sales tax from 2 percent to 2.5 percent to pay the estimated $14.7 million cost of building the center...Mayor Sarah Palin, who supported the measure, said the tight vote will motivate city officials to keep a close eye on the budget for the center." [Anchorage Daily News, 3/9/02]
::: :::
McCain Myth: Palin Is a Reformer Who Brought Ethics Back to Alaskan Politics
FACT: Palin Is Under Investigation, Faces a Separate Ethics Complaint and Signed a Weak Ethics Law
Joint Legislative Council of the Legislature Voted Unanimously to Appoint a Special Counsel to Investigate Palin Abuse of Power Claim. The Alaska State Legislature's Legislative Council voted 12-0 to approve $100,000 for a special investigator to begin an investigation into claims Palin fired a former state official because he would not fire a state trooper who was involved in a bitter custody battle with Palin's sister. [KTVA 11, 07/28/08]
Ethics Complaint Filed Against Gov. Palin Over Alleged Involvement in Hiring a Campaign Contributor. In August 2008, former state House member Andree McLeod" filed against Gov. Sarah Palin and her staff today with the Attorney General's Office. It accuses the governor's office of using its pull to get a Palin supporter hired to a [Department of Transportation] job in Fairbanks." McLeod said " 'Executive branch employee shouldn't be getting involved in the recruitment process unless it's based on merit,' said Andree McLeod, who wrote the complaint based on a series of e-mails between members of Palin's team...The complaint accuses Palin, her acting chief of staff and others of breaking executive ethics branch and hiring rules. It centers on the hiring of surveyor Tom Lamal, who once co-hosted a Palin fundraiser, for a state right-of-way agent job in Fairbanks." The complaint is available online. [Anchorage Daily News, 8/6/08; Anchorage Daily News, 8/7/08]
::: :::
McCain Myth: Palin Traveled Abroad to Ireland
FACT: Palin Stopped In Ireland To Refuel Plane.
Palin's Ireland Trip Was A Refueling Stop. Politico's Ben Smith reported, "I wrote the other day that a Palin spokeswoman said trips to Germany, Kuwait and Ireland made up her foreign travel. Two details worth clarifying: The Ireland trip was a refueling stop on her trip to military installations in Germany and Kuwait, spokeswoman Maria Comella said. And she's also visited Canada, another spokesman, Ben Porritt, says." [Politico, 9/2/08]
McCain Myth: Palin Has Experience in Foreign Affairs Because She Was Commander-in-Chief of the Alaska National Guard
FACT: Palin Has No Role in National Guard's National Defense Responsibilities or Overseas Deployments and Never Issued Any Orders to the Guard Since She Took Office
Adjutant General of Alaska National Guard Said Palin Plays No Role in National Defense Activities, Even When They Involve Alaska National Guard. "Maj. Gen. Craig Campbell, adjutant general of the Alaska National Guard, considers Palin 'extremely responsive and smart' and says she is in charge when it comes to in-state services, such as emergencies and natural disasters where the National Guard is the first responder. But, in an interview with The Associated Press on Sunday, he said he and Palin play no role in national defense activities, even when they involve the Alaska National Guard. The entire operation is under federal control, and the governor is not briefed on situations." [AP, 8/31/08]
- Palin Has Not Issued Any Orders for Guard Activity Since Becoming Their Commander in Chief. "Occasions in which Palin retains command authority over the 4,200-member Alaska National Guard are whenever the Guard responds to in-state natural disasters and civic emergencies, said Campbell, who also serves as the commissioner of the state Department of Military and Veterans Affairs.Some examples? 'We've deployed individuals in state service all over the state under Sarah Palin,' he said. 'We had defense men down in Seward for the (Mount) Marathon run doing security. 'Out west and northwest we had erosion problems, and the National Guard was involved in some of the protection out there. About three days ago, the Army National Guard picked up a lady from Little Diomede (Island) . . . at the request of state troopers.' Did Palin directly approve each of those activities? No, Campbell said. The governor has granted him the authority to act on his own in most cases, including life-or-death emergencies - when a quick response is required - and minor day-to-day operations." [McClatchy, 9/3/08]
::: :::
McCain Myth: Palin Sold the State's Jet on eBay
FACT: Palin Sold the Jet to Campaign Contributor at a Loss of $600,000 for the State
Palin Did Not Sell Murkowski's Plane on eBay - Sold it to an Alaskan Entrepreneur at a Loss of $600,000. "One of the compelling anecdotes about Sarah Palin is that she auctioned off the Alaska governor's jet on eBay after taking office - a swift move made by a reformer hoping to clean up the excesses of her predecessor. But in fact, the jet did not sell on eBay. It was sold to a businessman from Valdez named Larry Reynolds, who paid $2.1 million for the jet, shy of the original $2.7 million purchase price, according to contemporaneous news reports, including a story in the New York Times... What happened? It appears that, as promised during her bid for governor in 2006, Palin did try to sell the plane on eBay, but that doing so was not as easy as it might have sounded. After putting it up to auction, there was one serious bid, in December of 2006, and it fell through. Still, the Westwind II was sold about eight months later, achieving Palin's goal of ridding the state of a luxury item." [Washington Post Blog, 9/5/08]
- Larry Reynolds Made Campaign Contributions To Palin And State Rep. John Harris, Who Is Credited With Brokering The Sale, In 2006 And 2007. "Dan Spencer, the director of administrative services for Alaska's Public Safety Department, said that the Republican speaker of the Alaska House, John L. Harris, brokered the deal. Reynolds made campaign contributions to both Palin and Harris in 2006 and 2007." [Washington Post Blog, 9/5/08]
::: :::
McCain Myth: Palin Fired the Governor's Chef
FACT: Palin Did Not Fire the Chef, Just Reassigned Her to a Different Job - She Now Cooks for the Legislature
Contrary to Palin's Claim, Governor's Chef Wasn't Fired, She Was Just Reassigned. "Remember the long-time executive chef who lost her job at the Mansion when Sarah decided to live mostly in Wasilla instead of Juneau? Stefani Marnon was first reassigned as a 'constituent relations assistant' in the governor's office and later to the state museum. Earwigs report she's finally landed where they really appreciate a good chef: the Legislative Lounge. Lawmakers were smacking their lips in anticipation, according to Sen. Kim Elton's newsletter." [Anchorage Daily News, 9/9/08]
###
This is a welcome change from 2004 -- the Ohio secretary of state is actually fighting efforts to deny the vote instead of leading them.
It seems that the key differences between Democrats and Republicans on elections is that Dems think that not enough people are able to vote, and GOPers think that too many people vote.
Even though John McCain is managing a narrow but real lead in national polls, he's taking more risks with his campaign than is Barack Obama. Specifically, I'm talking about the honesty issue -- whereas Obama is hewing closely to the truth, McCain is spinning a fictional tale.
It's nothing new for a campaign to spin and sometimes get things wrong by recklessly deploying facts. But McCain is actually making things up. And that's a very risky strategy -- he can demonize the media all he wants, but if voters realize that he is lying to them, that alone could cost him the race.
I think the lesson from this is that McCain has no confidence in his ability to win this campaign on the merits. He must realize that while this new strategy of lying might not work, his old strategy could not have possibly worked.
Meanwhile, Barack Obama is basically saying the same things that he's been saying this whole campaign. Sure, he's tweaked a few things here and there, and he's now aggressively going after McCain's lies, but for the most part, he's still talking about the same things he's been talking about since day one. And I think that says that he not only has confidence in his message, but that he believes in it as well.
I'm going to have to start numbering these posts, because there are just so many of them. Anyway, here goes the newest lie:
Report: Palin Did Not Visit Iraq
By Anne E. Kornblut
WASILLA, Alaska -- Aides to Gov. Sarah Palin are scrambling to explain details of her only trip outside North America -- which, according to a new report, did not include Iraq, as the McCain-Palin campaign had initially claimed.
Palin made an official visit to see Alaskan troops in Kuwait in July of 2007. There, she made a stop at a border crossing with Iraq, but did not actually visit the country, according to a new report in the Boston Globe.
Earlier, McCain aides had said that Palin visited Iraq, and expressed indignation at questions about her slim foreign travel.
The campaign also said she had been to Ireland; that turned out to have been a refueling stop.
You may recall that late Thursday, the McCain campaign called Kornblut a liar for having said that Palin linked 9/11 and Iraq. Of course, Kornblut's story was accurate, and it was the McCain campaign who was lying. And now here they are, caught lying again.
They even lie about the size of their crowds.
McCain aide Kimmie Lipscomb told reporters on Sept. 10 that an outdoor rally in Fairfax City, Virginia, drew 23,000 people, attributing the crowd estimate to a fire marshal.
Fairfax City Fire Marshal Andrew Wilson said his office did not supply that number to the campaign and could not confirm it.
A WaPo reporter estimated the crowd size at 8,000.
Here's another lie:
The McCain campaign said 10,000 people showed up at the Consol Energy Arena in Washington, Pennsylvania, home of the Washington Wild Things baseball team.
The campaign attributed that estimate, and several that followed, to U.S. Secret Service figures, based on the number of people who passed through magnetometers.
"We didn't provide any numbers to the campaign,'' said Malcolm Wiley, a spokesman for the U.S. Secret Service.
If you liked the last eight years of lies, just wait for the McCain-Palin administration.
In response to an absurd attack from McCain spokesman Tucker Bounds -- who criticized Obama's event in Dover, NH as an affront against Texans impacted by Ike -- Obama spokseman Bill Burton says:
We will take no lectures from John McCain who is cynically running the sleaziest and least honorable campaign in modern Presidential campaign history. His discredited ads with disgusting lies are running all over the country today. He runs a campaign not worthy of the office his is seeking.
ALSO: Jonathan Martin explains why John McCain has decided to lie and attack without restraint. The essential explanation: McCain wants to win and doesn't care about anything else.
The Obama campaign is out with a new website -- mclobbyist.com -- and a new television ad, both of which make the case that if (heavens forbid) John McCain were elected president, his White House would be run by the oil industry and other corporate inside-the-beltway interests.
If you've been looking for something to get you fired up, here it is: Barack Obama earlier today in Concord, New Hampshire, laying out the foundations of what change really means -- from energy (which he knocked out of the park) to education to foreign policy to the economy.
This is Barack Obama at his best, especially when he talks about why the same old politics just won't do, and about how when we are united, there's nothing Americans can't do. This is the fire that carried this campaign to the Democratic nomination. This is the fire that will carry us through the election.
Roseanne Barr made a surprise appearance on Real Time tonight (and totally showed the panel how to deal with that clown John Fund), and Paul Begala was funny as usual.
| Paul Begala Interview |
Roseanne Barr (@ 3m08s) |
As for the rest of the show, Fund, who is an insufferable ass, pretty much ruined the panel discussion, though it was somewhat satisfying watching him be called a liar. Plus, there was one classic moment involving Fund. It came when Salman Rushdie said that Osama bin Laden had hoped to topple the Saudi government and Fund said that bin Laden was right, the government should have been toppled. That makes him 9/11 Fund, I guess?
Here's the rest of the episode, if you are so inclined: opening monologue, panel discussions 1, 2, 3, and 4, and new rules.
From earlier today in Dover, NH:
As far as I can tell, Charlie Gibson didn't ask Sarah Palin about her rather incredible comment yesterday tying Iraq to 9/11. Why didn't he ask her? Were there restrictions on what he was allowed to ask? Does he not think it's a relevant area to explore? Certainly, it's more relevant than asking Palin who she thinks Barack Obama ought to have selected as VP.
Gibson must be beside himself that she screwed up so badly on the Bush Doctrine softball.
This is what it sounds like when a presidential candidate actually tells you what he's going to do as president, instead of just talking about me, me, me.
This is what it sounds like when a presidential candidate tells you the truth, instead of lie after lie after lie.
This is what it sounds like when a presidential candidate offers real solutions to tough problems, instead of just drill, drill, drill.
This is what the next president of the United States sounds like:
McCain does not use a computer because he was a POW. I'm not kidding.
...John McCain would be running this ad, and nobody would complain. (h/t to debrazza, who brought it to my attention.)
A couple of months ago, John McCain's campaign attacked Barack Obama as "presumptuous" and claimed he was "measuring the drapes" at the White House and had "forgotten that he is, in fact, still a U.S. senator."
When reports surfaced that Obama was preparing a transition strategy, the campaign fired off an angry missive:
Before they've even crossed the 50-yard line, the Obama campaign is already dancing in the end zone with a new White House transition team.
Now, prepare yourself to be shocked, because John McCain is planning his transition to the presidency. According to TIME:
A prominent Washington lobbyist who has worked for every Republican president since Richard Nixon has been tapped by the McCain campaign to conduct a study in preparation for the presidential transition.
So not only has John McCain once again exposed his campaign's attacks as entirely disengenous, but he's completely contradicted his reformer message by tapping a lobbyist to lead his transition.
But that's alright, because it's okay if you're John McCain.
Republican presidential candidate John McCain on Friday defended two debunked television ads attacking Democrat Barack Obama and claimed erroneously that running mate Sarah Palin never sought money for lawmakers' pet projects as Alaska governor.
For the AP, this is pretty strong, but I still cannot understand why they insist on using phrases like "claimed erroneously."
Who can doubt that McCain is flat-out lying?
Update (12:50PM): Jake Tapper gets close to using the L-word, his headline declaring "To the Ladies of 'The View,' McCain Misrepresents Palin's Earmark Record."
Update 2 (1:00PM): Another AP article gets even closer to using the L-word:
The "Straight Talk Express" has detoured into doublespeak.
In the article, one of McCan's allies continues to blame Obama and the media for McCain's pathological lying:
McCain, he said, "tried it his way. He had a poverty tour and nobody covered it. He had a national service tour, and everybody made fun of it. He proposed these joint town halls" with Obama, "and nothing come of it. Through the spring and early summer, that approach didn't work. You can't blame him for taking a step back and reassessing."
:::
Housekeeping note: I've been battling all day with very high server volume, which is a good problem to have. Basically, today is already TJR's third highest volume in terms of page views and it's not even one o'clock. As a result, you may have noticed 503 service unavailable errors. I'm going to be making another switch to a new server this weekend, but it shouldn't distrupt service at all.
John McCain tells lie after lie on The View, defending his "lipstick" and "sexual predator" attacks as totally truthful. He then blamed Barack Obama for his own attacks (!), arguing that if Barack had just joined him at town halls, then he would have been honest.
So Sean Hannity gets the next one.
"Still" covers McCain's illustrious 26 year career in Congress and knocks him for everything from not knowing how to e-mail to favoring corporate tax breaks while offering nothing to the middle class. "Real Change" is a positive ad focused on Barack Obama's message of change.
Plouffe's key points: It's a close race, but Obama has the homefield advantage because the debate is about change. Meanwhile, McCain-Palin have become nothing but a cynical, dishonest campaign of smears and lies.
Full memo after the jump:
TO: Interested Parties
FR: David Plouffe, Campaign Manager
RE: Heading into the Final Stretch
DA: September 12, 2008
Summary
With both conventions and the vice-presidential selections behind us, the campaign is now heading into the final stretch. The race has settled into a tight race nationally with Obama well-positioned in the key battleground states, a historic enthusiasm gap, and a debate being waged on Obama's home turf - change.
In recent weeks, John McCain has shown that he is willing to go into the gutter to win this election. His campaign has become nothing but a series of smears, lies, and cynical attempts to distract from the issues that matter to the American people. But as Barack Obama said earlier this week "enough is enough." This election is too important and the challenges too big to spend the next 54 days talking about trivial non-issues.
Today is the first day of the rest of the campaign, and today we are releasing two new ads that go directly at the fundamental issue in this race: John McCain is out of touch with the American people and unable to address the challenges facing the country in the 21st century and bring about real change, and that Barack Obama is the candidate who will bring about change that works for the middle class.
We will respond with speed and ferocity to John McCain's attacks and we will take the fight to him, but we will do it on the big issues that matter to the American people. We will not allow John McCain and his band of Karl Rove disciples to make this big election about small things.
Senator Biden will be integral to that effort, both in pushing back on the lies that we'll continue to see from our opponents, and in keeping the debate focused on delivering for everyday Americans. After all, that's what Joe Biden has done throughout his career: passing the Crime Bill to put more cops on our streets, passing to the landmark Violence Against Women Act, and serving as a steadfast voice every day for those more concerned about the price of gas and saving for retirement than the latest political charade in Washington.
A Change Election with Two Converts
For the entire general election campaign, the McCain campaign has insisted that years in Washington should be the yardstick by which Americans measure their next President. But in recent days, and with his selection of a running mate with no Washington experience, Senator McCain has abandoned his core argument. Now he and his strategists have belatedly come to the realization that, after eight disastrous years, the American people are demanding change.
So the candidate who just months ago was openly boasting that he has been a faithful supporter of George W. Bush's policies, and would continue them as President, now is improbably scrambling to offer himself as the candidate who will deliver the change America needs - even as President Bush holds a fundraiser for him today in Oklahoma.
This is a debate we welcome. It is the debate America needs.
For two decades, Barack Obama has challenged political insiders and outworn thinking to bring about real, meaningful change that helps people, not special interests. From welfare reform, to tax relief for working families, to health care for children of working families who lacked coverage, Obama has been at the forefront of fights that have made a difference in the lives of everyday Americans.
In Washington, Obama has been a consistent opponent of the Bush policies that have hobbled our economy and weakened the middle class, and his proposals for the future would steer us away from that disastrous course.
He's challenged leaders of both parties by passing landmark reforms that took dead aim at the campaign contributions and favors through which corporate lobbyists have rigged the system. He worked across the aisle to pass laws reining in no-bid contracts and opening the budget process to the American people.
And Obama has lived by those principles in this campaign, refusing the contributions of Washington lobbyists and political action committees and imposing those same rules on the Democratic National Committee. Lobbyists don't run his campaign. And when he's President, they won't run his White House.
But what about John McCain?
Can we really expect change from a Senator who supported the Bush policies 90 percent of the time? Who has said the Bush policies have brought about "great progress economically" and who just three weeks ago proclaimed the economy fundamentally strong?
The fact is that while he mouths the word "change," Senator McCain's record and proposals scream "more of the same." His plans for the economy, energy, health care, education and Iraq barely stray from the Bush policies that are in place today.
And can we really expect change from a candidate whose campaign is being run by some of the most powerful corporate lobbyists in Washington?
While Senator McCain loudly declares that he will tell the special interests in Washington that their day is "over," they are working overtime to elect him.
Seven of the top officials in his campaign are lobbyists. Between them, they have lobbied for Big Oil, the drug and insurance industries, foreign governments-even Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. His campaign manager routinely lobbied for corporations who had business before the Senate Commerce Committee that McCain chaired.
Corporate Lobbyists and PACs have contributed millions of dollars to his campaign and the Republican National Committee on his behalf.
Does anyone believe they are spending their time, money and energy to put themselves out of business?
That is not change. It's more of the same.
A debate about delivering change is a debate we're happy to have. Because no matter how many times McCain and Governor Palin use the word "change" or try to reinvent their own records, one thing stays the same: the fact that when it comes to the economy, education, Iraq, or the special interests' stranglehold on Washington, they both are stubborn defenders of the past eight years and they both promise more of the same.
One final note:
Senator McCain has called the news media "his base" because of the friendly treatment he has received. And he undoubtedly is counting on his "base" to overlook the gulf between his newly minted "change" message, and the realities of his record and campaign.
His lobbyist-manager said Sunday that Governor Palin would only submit to questions about her record, statements and views when they determine that the news media will treat her with due "deference"-a startling and arrogant new standard for public officials in our democracy.
But we trust that the obvious conflicts between their rhetoric and records, their promises and their plans will not go unreported in the last 53 days of this campaign.
FactCheck.org sounds off on John McCain's most recent TV ad lie:
♦ "misleading" ♦
♦ "this ad is particularly egregious" ♦
♦ "goes down new paths of deception" ♦
♦ "carefully added language to alter the meaning" ♦
♦ "no one said anything close to that" ♦
♦ "takes words out of context" ♦
♦ "distorts" ♦
(h/t: Ben Smith)
Update and bump (1:20AM): Paul Krugman steps up to the plate with "Blizzard of Lies," a devastating indictment of McCain-land's deceptive campaign.
This race is about Obama vs. McCain, but some comments by Sarah Palin are so ignorant they cannot be ignored. Ignorance is not strength. We cannot afford four more years of stupid, dishonest foreign policy.
Update and bump (9/12, 1:05AM): The McCain campaign is freaking out over the WaPo article, no doubt partly inspired by the desire to distract attention from Palin's monumentally ignorant Bush Doctrine gaffe.
As a reminder, Sarah Palin yesterday said the goal of the war in in Iraq is to:
"defend the innocent from the enemies who planned and carried out and rejoiced in the death of thousands of Americans."
Based on that comment, Anne Kornblut of the WaPo noted:
Gov. Sarah Palin linked the war in Iraq with the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks...
The idea that the Iraqi government under Saddam Hussein helped al-Qaeda plan the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon, a view once promoted by Bush administration officials, has since been rejected even by the president himself.
That's utterly uncontroversial, right?
Nonethless, in a fit of 2:31AM irony, McCain-land deputy communications director Michael Goldfarb declared Kornblut's observation a "lie." His complaint:
Nevermind that her son's unit will, per the Post's report, be deployed to Northern Iraq, one of the last refuges of al Qaeda in Iraq. It seems we are to assume that this group, despite sharing a name and leadership with the group responsible for the 9/11 attacks, has nothing at all to do with those who "planned and carried out and rejoiced in the death of thousands of Americans."
Can somebody please tell me what in the hell Goldfarb is trying to say? The way I read his post, he's saying the exact same thing that Palin said which is the exact same thing that Kornblut said.
So WTF is up with him? Maybe he stayed up too late and just stopped making sense. This is after all only the second time I've ever seen a post from Goldfarb later than 1AM East coast time.
Anyway, to recap, here's what I think is going on:
Man, these guys are just lying too much. They can't even keep their head straight on.
Ignorance isn't strength.
He knows exactly what it is -- and he supports it entirely.
I almost feel sorry for Sarah Palin. She had no idea what Bush Doctrine was.
She seems to instinctively disagree with it, putting her at odds with McCain. But that really isn't the issue. She had no clue, and it wasn't that hard a question.
This should be a calamitous gaffe.
Update: Merriam-Webster defines a gaffe as "a noticable mistake." A 'Kinsley gaffe' is when a politician tells the truth by mistake.
I just tuned into this candidates forum thing, and McCain just blathered forth about what he would have done after 9/11 if he had been president.
How about we talk about what McCain actually did do after 9/11 though? Here he was in January 2002:
Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) visited the Roosevelt yesterday and shouted, "Next up: Baghdad!" from the carrier's bridge.
McCain has been pushing the administration to make Iraq and its dictator, Saddam Hussein, the next targets in the war on terrorism.
Pentagon officials and Powell have cautioned against focusing on Baghdad, but McCain said yesterday that Iraq poses "a clear and present danger" to the U.S.
"I think Iraq is going to have to be considered," he said.
Now, McCain says he'd have appealed for national unity and service. Then, he appealed for war with Iraq.
What a fraud.
My friend Ari Melber shows how to deal with GOP liars: you call them out on their bull. Watch as he makes Brad Blakeman wilt before your eyes:
In 1994, John McCain voted against legislation -- pushed through Congress by Joe Biden -- that helped put an end to the practice of charging rape victims for sexual assault exams.
Twisted as it may sound, charging victims for a forensic exam was a real problem. For example, as AMERICAblog has documented (and the media is now reporting), when Sarah Palin was mayor of Wasilla, the town charged rape victims for the exams.
Biden's legislation required that state, local, and Indian governments provide the rape exams to victims free of charge as a condition of receiving federal funds under the Violence Against Women Act. In 2000, Alaska finally passed state legislation in order to qualify for federal funding.
McCain not only opposed Biden's legislation, but also has voted against funding it as recently as October 2007.
McCain voted against final passage of Biden's legislation. He had supported an earlier version, but on the question of actually making the legislation the law of the land, McCain joined 35 conservative Republicans (and 2 Democrats) and said "no" to ensuring that all women had access to rape exams free of charge.
Here's the text of the rape exam provision in Biden's legislation:
H.R.3355: Violent Crime Control
and Law Enforcement Act of 1994SEC. 2005. RAPE EXAM PAYMENTS.
`(a) RESTRICTION OF FUNDS-
`(1) IN GENERAL- A State, Indian tribal government, or unit of local government, shall not be entitled to funds under this part unless the State, Indian tribal government, unit of local government, or another governmental entity incurs the full out-of-pocket cost of forensic medical exams described in subsection (b) for victims of sexual assault.
`(2) REDISTRIBUTION- Funds withheld from a State or unit of local government under paragraph (1) shall be distributed to other States or units of local government pro rata. Funds withheld from an Indian tribal government under paragraph (1) shall be distributed to other Indian tribal governments pro rata.
`(b) MEDICAL COSTS- A State, Indian tribal government, or unit of local government shall be deemed to incur the full out-of-pocket cost of forensic medical exams for victims of sexual assault if any government entity--
`(1) provides such exams to victims free of charge to the victim;
`(2) arranges for victims to obtain such exams free of charge to the victims; or
`(3) reimburses victims for the cost of such exams if--
`(A) the reimbursement covers the full cost of such exams, without any deductible requirement or limit on the amount of a reimbursement;
`(B) the reimbursing governmental entity permits victims to apply for reimbursement for not less than one year from the date of the exam;
`(C) the reimbursing governmental entity provides reimbursement not later than 90 days after written notification of the victim's expense; and
`(D) the State, Indian tribal government, unit of local government, or reimbursing governmental entity provides information at the time of the exam to all victims, including victims with limited or no English proficiency, regarding how to obtain reimbursement.
And here's another link to McCain's vote against the legislation and to his October 2007 vote against funding it.
If I were the McCain campaign, this would make my heart stop:
BBC: Do you think you will ever use the word "victory"?
PETRAEUS: I don't know that I will.
CNN keeps on asking why Michelle Obama isn't at the 9/11 memorial service, and breathlessly promises viewers that it will investigate the issue. Why does that matter? And if it is an issue, then why not ask why is Cindy McCain there? Is this just another campaign stop for McCain?
The national media is starting to pick up on the story (unearthed by AMERICAblog) that under Sarah Palin, Wasilla charged rape victims for sexual assault kits.
To me, the most striking part of this story actually has to do with Joe Biden. Why? Because one of Joe Biden's most important legislative accomplishments is the Violence Against Women Act -- the very same legislation that will help ensure that no rape victim will be forced to pay for her own sexual assault kit.
It's an extraordinarily bizarre contrast. On the one hand, you've got this older white guy who's been in DC for decades, and on the other hand you've got this inexperienced governor who probably hasn't spent ten days in DC in her entire life.
And yet it's the graybeard who has done more to protect women from violence. Weird. But true.

Lost in the shuffle of Sarah Palin's sequestration is that John McCain isn't talking to the press -- or the public -- either. FOX News (from yesterday):
Today marks the four-week anniversary since McCain held his last press conference (8/13 in Birmingham, MI) and three weeks since his last public town hall meeting (8/20 in Las Cruces, NM).
Part 1 (of 3) -- Obama sticks to his guns on McCain's ridiculous umbrage-taking over "lipstick":
The Michigan Messenger reports on efforts by state Republicans to suppress voter turnout, mostly among blacks. Ohio Republicans are poised to follow a similar gameplan.
I've been out all evening and just watched Keith O.'s Special Comment on the GOP's and John McCain's cynical manipulation of 9/11. Wow. I'd never thought I'd hear these words on television.
Larry Persily, former associate director to Governor Palin and former editor of the Anchorage Daily News, tells David Gregory why he doesn't think Palin is ready to be VP. He's diplomatic about it, but his description of her sounds eerily like...George W. Bush.
The pointed part of the discussion begins about 3:30 into the clip:
McCain sure is missing his new soulmate. Reuters reports that without Palin around to energize the crowd, a gathering of Democrats was able to make so much noise that McCain couldn't even finish his stump speech.
Seems it wasn't a fluke (har-har) when Nancy Pfotenahuer claimed that Barack Obama had called John McCain a fish. Here's video of three other GOP surrogates making the same complaint.
So now we've got a total of four examples of fishy umbrage -- I think that makes it an offical GOP talking point. Perhaps the most self-mocking talking point of all time, but an official talking point nonetheless.
I wouldn't want to talk about the Republican legacy either.
McCain spokeswoman Nancy Pfotenahuer is not amused:
John McCain's dishonorable campaign has now completely lost Andrew Sullivan, who was once a former admirer. I'm glad to see his words, especially because when the general election campaign began last June, I worried that McCain would be able to win him back.
I'm glad Andrew has seen McCain for who he has become, but it is tragic that McCain has not taken the opportunity to be who he could have been.
Barack strikes back against the McCain campaign's calculated umbrage-taking over his lipstick and fish comments:
The McCain campaign would much rather have the story be about phony and foolish diversions than about the future. ... This is what they want to spend 2 of the last 55 days talking about. You know who ends up losing at the end of day? It's not the Democratic candidate, it's not the Republican candidate, it's you, the American people. Because then we go another year or another four years or another eight years without addressing the issues that matter to you. Enough. I don't care what they say about me. But I love this country too much to let them take over another election with lies and phony outrage and swift boat politics. Enough is enough.
Your move, McCain.
Here's some of what I've perused:
What else is news?
John Aravosis at AMERICAblog catches the funniest moment of the campaign, at least up until now: former Massachussetts Governor Jane Swift complaining that Barack Obama had called John McCain a fish.
At issue? This line delivered earlier today by Barack Obama:
You can wrap an old fish in a piece of paper called change. It's still gonna stink. We've had enough of the same old thing.
Oh boy, I can see why she's so outraged. (HA!) And it does raise a serious question. If John McCain were a fish, what kind of fish would he be?
McCain-land is getting all whiney because Barack Obama called them out on their B.S. mantra of change:
You can put lipstick on a pig. It's still a pig. You can wrap an old fish in a piece of paper called change. It's still gonna stink. We've had enough of the same old thing.
I'll let Marc Ambinder rebut their foolishness:
Obama did not call Sarah Palin a pig
Yeah, but it was still pretty damn funny.
Key takeaway: it's close (Obama +1). By November, people will vote.
On a more serious note, the view that McCain will follow Bush's policies seems to be growing: 37% think McCain will follow those policies very closely compared with 33% in August, 32% in July, 30% in June, and 29% in March. (Overall about 3/4 think he will follow Bush at least somewhat closely, but I think the very closely number is more relevant.)
Update (6:59PM): Seth Coulter Walls shows how recent polls themselves might be flawed. Moral of the story: only one poll matters, the one on election day. Let's just hope the ballots aren't cast from Diebold's HQ.
So John McCain has a new ad on the air (watch it here) attacking Barack Obama for voting for a law that supposedly required schools to teach kids in kindgarten the birds and the bees.
Except the law required no such thing. In fact, the vote in question was actually about (among other things) providing school districts educational tools to protect young children from sexual predators. Moreover, there was no requirement that school districts use those tools. The legislation merely required that if a school destrict chose to offer such a program, the program could not be mandatory.
This guy McCain is a total joke. Only a guy with his complete disregard for the truth would be willing to attack his political opponent for supporting a law designed to protect youngsters from sexual predators.
Update (4:50PM): I should note that McCain's ad doesn't outrage me as much as it amuses me. I mean the truth is, John McCain is starting to make Elmer Fudd look dignified.

Over the past 11 days or so, Sarah Palin has sucked up all the oxygen in the room. I don't think that's a bad thing -- I'd rather have people focusing on her as the explanation for McCain's bounce than to have them focus on McCain himself as the explanation for his bounce.
(Edit: Given that McCain's bounce was accurately predicted by Nate Silver well before Palin was a twinkle in anybody's eye, it probably has more to do with McCain and the nature of convention bounces than Palin.)
As much as she's overshadowed the race generally, she's also overshadowed McCain specifically. I have no doubt that a large share -- probably a majority -- of McCain supporters would rather have her at the top of the ticket than him. After all, even if he's got a compelling story to tell about his days as a soldier, he's a terribly boring candidate.
It's easy to forget (and I've been guilty of this) that the thing that's really important about Palin is what her selection says about John McCain.
And at this point, we already know all that we need to know to answer that question. For example:
So where does that leave things? Well, for me at least, going forward I'm going to start refocusing my attention on the top of the ticket.
I've got no regrets about focusing on Palin, and I won't totally ignore her, but when I talk about her, I'm going to be more rigorous about doing it with the idea in mind that what's really important about her candidacy is what it says about John McCain.
The only exception to that rule would be any news relating to Palin's more extremist tendencies, particularly on secession and religion. Why? Because, simply put, there is a very good chance that if John McCain wins the election she will become president at some point in the next few years.
But in general, as I've said, I think we've already made the core case against McCain's selection of Palin: (1) McCain doesn't have enough confidence in his own VP selection to allow her to venture out to the media on her own, (2) that McCain made his selection without careful consideration, and (3) that McCain thinks her record is so weak that he must lie about it.
As a result, my instinct tells me that now is the time to start returning the focus to McCain, reducing the attention placed on Palin, and replacing it with a focus on the core choice that voters will confront in November: do they want Barack Obama or John McCain to lead the country out of the ditch George W. Bush has gotten us stuck in?
I keep on harping on Nate Silver's accurate projection that John McCain would be in the lead at the conclusion of the GOP convention.
Here's why: if McCain's bounce was entirely predictable when everybody thought he'd pick Romney or Pawlenty, then Sarah Palin might actually have nothing to do with it at all.
Yet, at the same time that she brings "sizzle" to his ticket, as time goes on, that sizzle will fade. Right now, I'm still betting that McCain's choice of Palin won't be a long run plus. She'll unify the base -- as Romney would have done -- but as we learn more about her true record, it will become increasing clear that McCain made a bad choice -- and that will reflect poorly on him in a way that selecting Romney or Pawlenty never would have done.
CBS reports on Palin's big accomplishment as Mayor of Wasilla: the contruction of an indoor sports complex. The key point anti-tax conservatives should focus in on:
Palin funded the project by pushing a special referendum that raised the sales tax by 25 percent. City hall records show the referendum was passed by twenty votes.
Palin's selection appears to have been all about her cultural conservatism and demographic appeal -- not any sort of anti-tax zeal. As for the top of the ticket, Club For Growth has plenty to worry about with him, too.
A reader of Jonah Goldberg's spends some time on the Google and determines that Sarah Palin was entitled to a per diem for all the days that she spent at home.
Talk about not getting it. The point isn't whether she was allowed to claim the money or not -- the point is that she practiced politics as usual. Palin has lived at home, hundreds of miles from the state capitol, for more than half the time that she's served as governor.
And she decided to charge the state extra for the privilege of allowing her to live at home.
Most people don't understand that kind of arrangement. Most people don't get the chance to be paid to live at home. It's the same kind of scam -- legal or not -- that is typical of politics. And it's the same old sense of self-entitlement that people hate about politicians.
When it comes to reform, Sarah Palin talks a mean game, but the more we learn, the more it seems that her image is just another myth spun up by the Republican Party.
Remind you of anything?
On August 14, Nate Silver put together a projection of what the polling would look like after both conventions had passed.
All I can say is the guy is a total freak, because he pretty much nailed it: as of right now, we're basically exactly where he predicted that we would be -- John McCain, with a small lead.
Here's a chart showing Nate's projection:

The value of this chart is that it demonstrates that these shifts in opinion were entirely predictable.
Going forward, there may be a slow drift in the next few weeks, but the next big shift won't take place until the first presidential debate on Friday September 26.
At this point, what matters most is the fundamental question of the campaign, and now that both sides agree that this is a change election, I'd still rather be in our position than their's.
This really suprised me (pleasantly) -- Koch supported Bush in 2004. Now he says "The country is safer in the hands of Barack Obama" and tells Ben Smith that McCain's selection of Palin pushed him to endorse.
A reader at NRO's The Corner notes to Rich Lowry that yesterday in Missouri, Sarah Palin said that she John McCain wanted to cut taxes on all Americans."If only that were true," the reader wrote.
Here's what she said in Lee's Summit, MO:
I'm ready to help John McCain bring tax relief to all Americans.
But John McCain has no such plan. In fact, his tax plans offer no relief at all to as many as 100 million Americans. Here's CNN on the topic, from Sep. 4:
Obama's claim that "more than 100 million Americans" will be left out of tax relief under McCain seems to be in the ballpark.
When the Tax Policy Center, which has analyzed both candidates' tax plans, considered McCain's proposals as a whole minus his health care plan, it estimated that 66 million tax "units" - or 78 million people - would still not see tax relief next year. Add their kids and Cousin Itt upstairs, and you get closer to that 100 million number Obama touts.
As both Lowry and his reader argue, it would be good politics for McCain to offer middle-class tax relief. And perhaps he will do so at some point during this campaign. (Though if he did, it would nuke any claims he has to fiscal responsibility unless he rolls back his tax cuts for the wealthy.) But he hasn't done so yet, and Sarah Palin doesn't seem to understand that basic fact.
I guess we've got a new acronym to work with....IOKIYASP. In 2007, Sarah Palin ripped state legislators for holding a special session in Anchorage because...get this...she thought the costs of per diems were ridiculous.
Now this sort of hypocrisy isn't that unusual for a politician, and I'm not exactly outraged or anything, but the point is that Sarah Palin is just another hack. Nothing special.
This one should have legs. Washington Post:
ANCHORAGE, Sept. 8 -- Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin has billed taxpayers for 312 nights spent in her own home during her first 19 months in office, charging a "per diem" allowance intended to cover meals and incidental expenses while traveling on state business.
There's a lot more detail in the article, including questions about why she billed the state $25,000 for expenses related to her daughters. She also was reimbursed for attending a basketball game. Perhaps the kicker is that she charged the state over $2,000 for a three-night stay at a $707 per night hotel room in New York City.
The problem here is obvious: Palin's lavish spending completely undercuts the moosehunter maverick myth being spun by the McCain campaign. This is exactly the kind of politics as usual that they claim to be running against.
Mike Allen has the goods on the McCain campaign's plan for Charlie Gibson's "interview" with Sarah Palin:
The [McCain campaign] official said Gibson will have the chance to "speak to her on 9/11 about her ideas for keeping America safe in the future; to speak to her as she goes back to Wasilla, where she grew up, about her life and her views and her vision for the country."
In other words, this is going to be a total puff piece. More details:
Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin will speak at her son's Army deployment ceremony on 9/11 and spend two days with ABC News crews later this week as part of a McCain campaign plan to increase Americans' comfort with her as a leader.
Campaign and network officials had said on Sunday that her first television interview would be a sit-down with Charles Gibson of ABC's "World News."
But it turns out that she is spending much of Thursday and Friday with Gibson -- at the ceremony in Fairbanks, Alaska, and at her home in Wasilla, Alaska.
And:
Two interviews with Gibson are planned for Thursday, including a conversation about her support for a natural-gas pipeline - a key applause line in her convention speech. Then on Friday, Palin will spend "as much time as both parties need" in Wasilla and Anchorage, the official said. She will fly into Anchorage and then drive to Wasilla.
FOX News itself couldn't have designed a friendlier format.
And also don't forget, the premiere of the Rachel Maddow Show at 9PM Eastern! If you're watching along, feel free to chime in on this open thread.
Now updated with video.
Here's a New York Times story published on November 17, 2005 -- nearly two full years before Palin finally sided with bridge opponents:
Two 'Bridges to Nowhere' Tumble Down in Congress
WASHINGTON, Nov. 16 - Congressional Republicans decided Wednesday to take a legislative wrecking ball to two Alaskan bridge projects that had demolished the party's reputation for fiscal austerity.
Straining to show new dedication to lower spending, House and Senate negotiators took the rare step of eliminating a requirement that $442 million be spent to build the two bridges, spans that became cemented in the national consciousness as "bridges to nowhere" because of the remote territory and small populations involved.
The change will not save the federal government any money. Instead, the $442 million will be turned over to the state with no strings attached, allowing lawmakers and the governor there to parcel it out for transportation projects as they see fit, including the bridges should they so choose.
In 2006, after the state had received the money, Palin supported the bridge. In other words, even though the Republican Congress was against it, she was for it. She finally decided to oppose it in September 2007, basing her decision on Congress' refusal to fund the bridge: "Congress has little interest in spending any more money on a bridge between Ketchikan and Gravina Island."
McCain-Palin. More lies. More of the same.
The Obama campaign using the 'L' word -- lie -- about McCain and Palin.
I know John McCain is leading in the polls right now, but that isn't the important thing. The important thing is that John McCain now agrees with Barack Obama that this campaign is about who best can bring about the change that this country needs. And that is a debate John McCain is going to have an awfully hard time winning.
John McCain and Sarah Palin are now attacking Barack Obama on earmarks, claiming he requested $1 billion in funds. But consider these facts:
When we talk about John McCain and Sarah Palin being more of the same, this is what we're talking about. These are the same old kinds of political attacks that Republicans have been using for years, all the while refusing to do anything about the real problems this country faces.
This is exactly why we need real change.
Mitchell makes a good point -- it isn't just about doing an interview. Given the central role that Sarah Palin is now playing in John McCain's campaign, voters have a right to see how she holds up under the pressure of a live press conference. I've updated the Sequestration Watch to reflect this.
So the McCain campaign is out with yet another false ad, this one prominently featuring Sarah Palin, who they obviously see as John McCain's personal political savior.
Howard Kurtz calls the ad's claims about Palin on the Bridge To Nowhere a "whopper." It's a lie they've peddled nonstop for the past ten days, right up there with the eBay lie, and it's in keeping with just about every other McCain ad so far this election season.
It's been obvious for weeks now that John McCain has a serious truthiness problem in his campaign, but now that Sarah Palin has joined the ticket, they've taken the propaganda to a new level, not only telling lie after lie about her record in Alaska, but cleverly shielding her from media scrutiny.
It's just another reminder that after all is said and done, McCain-Palin is just more of the same -- more of the same old kinds of lies that Bush and Cheney told us, just in a fresh new diguise.

Barack Obama has pounded away at his core message that if you liked the last eight years, then you should vote for John McCain because he'll deliver more of the same, but if you want change, you should vote for Obama-Biden.
It's a good message and it should remain the centerpiece of the campaign. But as Barack Obama and Joe Biden continue on the stump, they need a quick way to describe what more of the same really means. To that end, here's a three-part proposal, based on the arguments that Obama and Biden have been making on the campaign trail. More of the same means:
That's it. Those three elements encapsulate what I think we mean when we say John McCain and Sarah Palin mean more of the same. They won't get anything done, they'll continue tearing America apart over cultural issues, and they'll lie to and deceive the public with reckless abandon.
Now that John McCain agrees that this election is about who can best change the direction of this country, Barack Obama will be enjoying the political equivalent of a homefield advantage for the the rest of the campaign. This is the turf on which Obama wants to fight. This is the turf on which we will win. And what we need to start doing now is to begin closing the case by explaining what the case really means.
Looks like I need to modify the countdown widget to track the time until Sarah Palin sits down for an interview without preconditions, because as Josh Marshall observes, the Charlie Gibson interview isn't really an interview after all.
For starters, it will take place in multiple sessions over multiple days, giving Palin incredible leverage over Gibson -- if she or her handlers don't like a question, they'll just cancel the remaining sessions, all but insuring that Gibson won't ask any tough questions.
Moreover, Gibson has already preemptively agreed to the McCain campaign's demand that he not ask questions of a personal nature, writing last week that "Once you know about her daughter's pregnancy, once you know about her husband's political interest in the Alaska Independent Party, once you know about the special nature of their latest child, I think that's enough."
It's simply breathtaking that Gibson would make such a statement. How can he possibly take off the table questions about her and Todd Palin's involvement in the Alaskan Independence Party? (Perhaps he doesn't know that the party advocates Alaska's secession from the U.S.A., given that he doesn't know how to spell it.)
Also worth noting: the interview is scheduled to take place on both Thursday and Friday, September 11 and 12. Given that her son is scheduled to leave for Iraq on 9/12 (not 9/11 as she claimed last Wednesday), it's hard to imagine Gibson won't ask her about that -- as he should. But if he's going to ask about her son's military service, why isn't it okay to ask about her own ties and her husband's ties to the secessionist movement? And why isn't it okay to ask other questions of a personal nature?
So my bottom-line here -- unless Charlie Gibson proves me wrong by conducting a no-holds barred interview -- is that this does not meet the criteria of an interview without preconditions, and I'm going to update the widget to reflect that fact.
Update (4:47AM): Here's what I've decided to do with the widget -- I've changed the title The Sarah Palin Sequestration Watch and will track the total # of interviews she's given with national journalists until she reaches a reasonable number.
So MSNBC has caved to the McCain campaign and agreed to allow David Gregory to anchor its election night and debate night coverage throughout the remainder of the campaign.
Chuck Todd would have been a good choice. But Gregory? What. A. Joke.
It's hard not to get down when you look at the polls coming out in the wake of the Republican convention. After all, from our perspective, it was 3 straight days of everything we can't stand in politics all rolled up into one -- and it's being rewarded with good numbers in the polls. (If you want to explore the numbers, Nate Silver and Sam Wang have each taken a close look.)
The thing to remember is that the polling numbers don't matter right now, because nobody has actually cast a ballot. Moreover, the GOP bounce was entirely predictable. In fact, so far, Nate Silver's projection, offered on August 14, seems pretty accurate.
As we've seen in this campaign, polling numbers can shift rather quickly. So while the GOP convention was a success in terms of the current state of the race, it's longer-term impacts probably aren't reflected in the polls.
Two of those long-term dynamics strike me as particularly important.
First, the conservative base is enthralled with Sarah Palin. No question about it, she's got them fired up. And for the most part, that takes care of John McCain's problem with his base, and barring anything major coming out about Palin, it should help McCain through election day.
There's nothing that we can do or say to change that dynamic -- as far McCain's base is concerned, Palin was an unqualified home run. Hell, I bet half of 'em wouldn't mind if she replaced McCain at the top of the ticket.
Second, John McCain has decided to embrace the idea that this is a change election. This effectively gives Barack Obama home field advantage.
What McCain is going to argue is that his personal characteristics and resume make him better suited to bring change to Washington. Obama will argue that his philosophy and judgment make him better suited to change the direction of the country. McCain will argue that Obama is a captive of Nancy Pelosi and other Democrats. Obama will argue that McCain will continue George Bush's policies.
But the bottom-line is that if both sides agree this election is about change, we've got the advantage.
::: :::
In the short-term, McCain seems to have gotten a boost out of his selection of Palin and also his decision try to present himself as an agent of change. But remember, his boost came after nearly a solid week (starting with his VP announcement) of mostly unrebutted puffery.
In the coming week, now that the conventions are both over, we're going to begin this national debate about who is better positioned to bring about change. And the next big inflection point in that debate will be the first Presidential debate itself.
As Nate Silver has predicted, there's a good chance that up until that debate McCain will be in the lead, or that the race will be tied. But as long as the question is which candidate is more likely to change directions after eight years of Bush, I think we'll end up being right where we need to be on election day.
Not that it matters much, but for the record, the overall ratings for John McCain and Barack Obama were exactly the same -- 42.4 million each. Slightly more people watched McCain than Obama on commercial television, but factoring in PBS, the two had the same size audience.
An AMERICAblog reader happened to be eating at a restaurant in New Mexico when who should walk in but John McCain and his soulmate, Sarah Palin. So the reader turned into a citizen journalist, and asked Palin whether or not she plans to support indicted Senator Ted Stevens.
"Are supporting Ted Stevens this year?" She replied, "He's under indictment you know...his trial is in September." I replied, "But are you voting for him?" She walked away without answering.
She won't be able to walk away from Charlie Gibson, at least not unless he lets her. Whatever spin she tries to put on it, I do hope that Gibson has a chance to see this video of a July 2 joint press conference with Palin and Stevens before he interviews her.
In the video, which I first learned about from ABC News, Palin says Stevens' "voice needs to be heard across America" and that she "has great respect for him." That's not all that suprising -- Stevens and Palin have a long history of working together. Indeed, she was a director of Stevens' 527 group, and during her campaign for governor, she ran an ad boasting of his support.
You know that viral video of Sarah Palin talking to graduating evangelical students at Wasilla Assembly of God earlier this summer?
The one where she urges them to pray that when it comes to Iraq "there is a plan and that that plan is God's plan."
The same one in which she tells them to pray for a gas pipeline, saying "I think God's will has to be done in unifying people and companies to get that gas line built, so pray for that."
Well, it turns out she used state funds to cover her travel expenses there -- a total of $639.50.
Remember when the separation of church and state used to mean something?
From the Anchorage Daily News, here are some of the talking points about Ted Stevens given to Alaska delegates at the GOP convention:
On Stevens being electable:
-- Ted Stevens is our guy.
-- He is the only person, except Governor Palin, who can beat Mark Begich in November.
-- As long as he does not receive jail time he is legally capable of serving.
Sarah Palin, by the way, still has not said whether or not she'll support the indicted senator's campaign. She is a veteran of his political organization, however, having run Stevens' 527 group.
Mickey Kaus catches John McCain lying about about the true reasons for his campaign's collapse in the summer of 2007: immigration.
Here's McCain in December 2007 claiming to Ryan Lizza that the true cause of his political troubles was his weak fundraising:
Over lunch in Arlington, McCain had given the stock explanation for what caused last summer's difficulties. "The problem, which was my problem, was that our fiscal expectations weren't met by reality," he said--in other words, he couldn't raise enough money.
Except that wasn't the true cause of his troubles. The next day he admitted that he had lied. The real problem was his position on immigration reform.
But the next day, as I travelled with McCain around South Carolina, he told me that his campaign's brush with death had less to do with fund-raising than with his role in championing the ambitious immigration-reform bill, supported by the White House, that died in Congress this year. "It wasn't the budgetary problems. That was an inside-the-Beltway thing," he said, referring to press coverage of his campaign's setbacks. ... "It was immigration" that hurt his campaign, he said when he continued, after a series of apologies on both sides. "I understand that. I was told by one of the pollsters, 'We see real bleeding.' "
So John McCain flip-flopped and shifted his message to focus on his support for the surge in Iraq.
Yet now John McCain says it's the surge that caused his campaign to collapse.
I fought for the right strategy and more troops in Iraq, when it wasn't a popular thing to do. And when the pundits said my campaign was finished, I said I'd rather lose an election than see my country lose a war.
Actually, it's his militaristic flag waving that put his campaign back on track. But what does the truth matter to a guy like John McCain?
He lies, and he just doesn't care. Because in his eyes, it's his country that owes him, not the other way around. To him, it's John McCain first.
AP reports (via Andrew Sullivan):
ANCHORAGE, Alaska -- Gov. Sarah Palin's church is promoting a conference that promises to convert gays into heterosexuals through the power of prayer.
"You'll be encouraged by the power of God's love and His desire to transform the lives of those impacted by homosexuality," according to the insert in the bulletin of the Wasilla Bible Church, where Palin has prayed for about six years.
When it comes to family values, they've got more important things -- closer to home -- that they should be worried about.
Sarah Palin is more than a distraction.
She is, in fact, a window into the kind of president John McCain would be. After all, her selection is the single most important political decision that he has made this entire campaign. And what McCain's decision tells us is that if he were to win this election, he would be at least as bad a president as George W. Bush -- and possibly far worse.
A McCain-Palin Administration would deliver:
As Democrats, we sometimes have a tendency to shy away from ripe targets at the first sign of trouble. We can't let that happen this time. I know that McCain is getting a convention bump, even leading in Gallup's tracking poll. But if we interpret that as a sign that somehow Sarah Palin is a huge asset for John McCain, I think we'd be making a huge mistake. At the same time, as Sean Quinn argues, we can't allow ourselves to fall into the trap of reacting to Palin.
Instead, we need to continue pressing the case that we've been making all along: John McCain means four more years of Bush politics and policies. Now that he has selected Sarah Palin to run alongside him, our case is even stronger. And it's precisely because our case is so strong that I'm convinced we will win this election.
Looks like the Palin No Comment Watch will end sometime this week: AP reports that the McCain camp has agreed to an interview with Charlie Gibson of ABC News who at times this cycle has made Brit Hume look like Keith Olbermann. Smart move by McCain-land, picking the most McCain-friendly journalist outside of FOX. (I'll bet FOX gets the second interview.)
Update (12:08PM): McCain-land claims the interview was offered several days ago, but you can color me skeptical. Earlier in the day, Rick Davis had stuck to his "she'll do an interview when we feel like it posture" but it wasn't until after Biden's challenge to Palin, that the McCain campaign leaked news of the pending interview (to AP, surprise, surprise).
Interestingly, as of fifteen minutes ago, ABC News itself had not yet confirmed the interview. I can't imagine they will turn it down, but this sure is the oddest announcement of an interview that I've ever seen.
Update 2 (12:14PM): Mike Allen of Politico gets confirmation from ABC.
Under pressure for being shielded for questioning, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R) has a agreed to sit down with Charles Gibson of ABC's "World News Tonight," according to an ABC News official. No other interviews are scheduled.
It will be the first TV interview for Palin since she was named 10 days ago as running mate to Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.).
I'm watching football ('Hawks trailing 14-7, but their offense finally started to click), but I did catch the beginning of Joe Biden's interview on Meet the Press and he got in a couple of good zingers. Politico:
"She's a smart, tough politician," Biden told Tom Brokaw in a "Meet the Press" interview live from Wilmington, Del. "So I think she's going to be formidable. Eventually, she's going to have to sit in front of you like I'm doing and have done. Eventually, she's going to have to answer questions and not be sequestered. Eventually, she's going to have to answer on the record."
Here's full episode video (I'll post the full interview when MSNBC puts it up):
Here's a link, just in case you hadn't already heard. Meanwhile, some other odds and ends:
Good Lord, please save us from these fools.

Update: Here's the Facebook app!
:::Here it is -- by popular request, the widgetized version of The No Talk Express Watch Widget (formerly The Sarah Palin Sequestration Watch and the No Comment Watch). Now you can embed the watch on any website you choose.
To get it up and running, all you need to do is copy the code in the text box below and post it on any web site that allows you to post Javascript.
Many thanks to Soren Burkhart who took the time to turn the Sequestration Watch into a widget. (Soren lives in Barack Obama's home state, where he runs a consulting firm focused on technology integration.)
Click in the text box below to select the code for the widget. Copy it to memory and then paste it inside the <body></body> tags on your web page.
Remember, you will probably want to use the styles but you don't absolutely need them. (The default styling is for jedreport.com.)
You do, however, need the Javascript code -- otherwise nothing will work.
Good luck!