January 2009 Archives

President Obama Taps VP Biden To Lead Middle-Class Task Force

Here's video from today's announcement that of a middle-class task force to be headed by Joe Biden. The announcement came in the wake of news that the economy shrunk by 3.8% in the final three months of Bush’s presidency. Full transcript here.


If you've been following DKTV, you'll notice that this is a new player. In addition to being resizable for embedders, it also has a different layout, including a controlbar that fades during playback (unless you move the mouse over the video).

This video also uses new encoding settings that will hopefully be more reliable than other videos I've posted. If you have the time, I would very much appreciate it if you would comment (or e-mail) on whether the video played for you (ideally all the way the through). You'll notice that the video tells you which version of Flash you are using -- if you can supply that information along with your comment it would be very helpful.

Thanks in advance for any feedback you can provide on video playback. As soon as I finish debugging the playback issue for longer and higher bitrate videos, I'll be able to move DKTV out of beta and get back to my normal video blogging routine.

GOP 100% Against Economic Recovery

This is impressive, even for the Republican Party:

Not a single vote in favor of the economic recovery plan passed today by the House. Nobody expected overwhelming GOP support. But for every single Republican member to oppose a new economic recovery plan?

After the 2008 election, that's just stunning, especially given the fact that it's the Bush Recession that we're recovering from.

But perhaps it shouldn't be a surprise. It's the same thing that happened in 1993, when not a single Republican voted for Clinton's stimulus bill after the first George Bush's presidency.

Hopefully the economy rebounds just as strongly this time as it did back then.

(Side note about the screen capture: the final vote was actually 244-188. One Democratic switched from 'nay' to 'yea' at the last second.)

I agree with this comment

This comment just came across the transom:

you used to post more and better videos. go back to that format please.

Even though that comment is in part critical, I actually couldn't agree more with it, and the good news is that is exactly what I'm working on, behind the scenes. Although DKTV beta is now out, there's tons of work left to be done to get it ready for prime time, and if youi've noticed my posting schedule being relatively light -- that's the reason. As somebody said to me: you gotta' build the house before you paint it, and right now I'm still building. I am super enthusiastic about where DKTV is heading, however, and I'm looking forward to it being up and running, and of course cross-posting videos here and at Daily Kos itself. I find myself fighting off the impulse to dive into a new video (for example, I'd love to do one showing Boehner and McConnell three weeks ago vs. today), but I want to get DKTV right first. A few folks have written me asking "why not just post to YouTube.?" Well, the reason is simple: YouTube (thanks to Viacom) deleted both my JedReport AND Daily Kos accounts because of three short videos claimed by Jon Stewart's show (at least two of which relied on footage from other channels). Combined, these videos had maybe 10,000 views, tops (and probably less), compared to about 20,000,000 video plays that I've had over the last year or so. Since Viacom has ensured that YouTube is no longer a viable option, I'm spending the time on DKTV to be an even better alternative for posting videos.

This Sucks

William Kristol departs the NYT.

I cannot think of a better spokesman for progressives and moderates in America today than William Kristol.

Obama Won Gillibrand's District

Swing State Project crunched the numbers. Makes it a little harder to understand why she was so conservative.

A Step In The Right Direction

Senator-Designate Gillibrand has a ways to go, but the news that she now supports full marriage equality is a step in the right direction.

Live From New York...

...it's a really crummy pick for the Senate.

Gillibrand is arguably to the right of Evan Bayh. That'd be fine if she was a Democratic Senator from Oklahoma, but she's not -- she'll be from New York State.

She is 42, and if she wins election in 2010, could very well be in the Senate for 30+ years, unless she runs for Governor or President (and wins) or is appointed to the cabinet someday.

Now even though CK probably would have been better, it's not as if the choice was between CK & Gillibrand. There were plenty of other good options for Paterson, and he picked just about the worst.

Personally, I'd have liked to have seen a caretaker, so Democratic primary voters could have picked their nominee, and GOP primary voters could have done the same.

Meanwhile, on a different note, Paul Krugman -- who I have the utmost respect for as a progressive policy guy -- seems to misinterpret President Obama's inaugural address.

Krugman seems to think Obama's speech calls into question the President's commitment to a bold economic recovery plan.

In response to an unprecedented economic crisis -- or, more accurately, a crisis whose only real precedent is the Great Depression -- Mr. Obama did what people in Washington do when they want to sound serious: he spoke, more or less in the abstract, of the need to make hard choices and stand up to special interests.

That's not enough. In fact, it's not even right.

Thus, in his speech Mr. Obama attributed the economic crisis in part to "our collective failure to make hard choices and prepare the nation for a new age" -- but I have no idea what he meant.

But the full sentence -- note the first clause -- was:

Our economy is badly weakened, a consequence of greed and irresponsibility on the part of some but also our collective failure to make hard choices and prepare the nation for a new age.

During the speech Obama also said:

For everywhere we look, there is work to be done.

The state of our economy calls for action: bold and swift. And we will act not only to create new jobs but to lay a new foundation for growth.

We will build the roads and bridges, the electric grids and digital lines that feed our commerce and bind us together.

We will restore science to its rightful place and wield technology's wonders to raise health care's quality...

(APPLAUSE)

... and lower its costs.

We will harness the sun and the winds and the soil to fuel our cars and run our factories. And we will transform our schools and colleges and universities to meet the demands of a new age.

All this we can do. All this we will do.

Now, there are some who question the scale of our ambitions, who suggest that our system cannot tolerate too many big plans. Their memories are short, for they have forgotten what this country has already done, what free men and women can achieve when imagination is joined to common purpose and necessity to courage.

What the cynics fail to understand is that the ground has shifted beneath them, that the stale political arguments that have consumed us for so long, no longer apply.

MR. The question we ask today is not whether our government is too big or too small, but whether it works, whether it helps families find jobs at a decent wage, care they can afford, a retirement that is dignified.

Where the answer is yes, we intend to move forward. Where the answer is no, programs will end.

And those of us who manage the public's dollars will be held to account, to spend wisely, reform bad habits, and do our business in the light of day, because only then can we restore the vital trust between a people and their government.

Nor is the question before us whether the market is a force for good or ill. Its power to generate wealth and expand freedom is unmatched.

But this crisis has reminded us that without a watchful eye, the market can spin out of control. The nation cannot prosper long when it favors only the prosperous.

The success of our economy has always depended not just on the size of our gross domestic product, but on the reach of our prosperity; on the ability to extend opportunity to every willing heart -- not out of charity, but because it is the surest route to our common good.

Personally, I think Krugman is incredibly compelling when he offers specific analysis of what we should do on a substantive basis. I'm not as moved by his political analysis, but he's so good on the policy, that I'm willing to overlook his occasional tendency to fret too much about Obama's style.

Still Just So Amazing

I'm sitting here, continuing work on Daily Kos TV (can't wait to get it out of beta so I can resume a normal posting schedule!), with the announcement of George Mitchell as special envoy to the Middle East on MSNBC in the background. (Edit: And also Richard Holbrooke for Afghanistan.)

Listening to the speakers -- the President, the Vice President, Secretary of State Clinton, and Mitchell -- I am just thrilled. It's so special. After eight years of spoiled children running the White House, we've got adults back. (And the funny thing is, they've got better senses of humor!)

At least for me, election night was emotional, but the inauguration a bit less so. What I wanted to see was the new President and his administration in action. And now that we're seeing it unfold, wow. I'd be lying if I said my eyes were totally dry.

Obama Signs Orders To Shut Guantanamo, Forbid Torture

I've posted video of the signing ceremony at Daily Kos TV.

The President At Work

Just amazing:

At Work

What A Way To Start The Day

WH statement:

At 8:35 AM, the President arrived in the Oval Office and spent 10 minutes alone in the office. He read the note left to him by President Bush that was in an envelope marked "To: #44, From: #43". At 8:45 AM, White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel came in to discuss the schedule of today's events. The First Lady came into the Oval Office at 9:10 AM. We will release a picture shortly.

Inaugural Video Candy

The hard work begins today, but there's still time to relish yesterday. I've posted a range of videos from the morning's activities through the inauguration balls over at Daily Kos TV. (Search the tag "Inauguration" for the full list.)

I particularly enjoyed President Obama's speech at the Youth Ball and the video recap of the day by CBS. Whatever your pick, enjoy!

Salvaging The Unsplit Infinitive

Update (11:59): Wow, even I screwed up what the oath is supposed to be. I thought it was "I do solemnly swear to faithfully execute..." but it's actually "I do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will faithfully execute..."

"Will execute" is the bare infinitive, not the full infinitive ("to execute"). Therefore, "Will faithfully execute" isn't a split infinitive, and I got too cute by half in titling my post. But my core point has nothing to do with verb tenses and still holds.

Original post:

Somebody's probably already said this, but when Roberts botched the oath (forgetting to split the infinitive "to execute" with "faithfully"), it was obvious that both he and President Obama quickly realized his screw-up.

What really struck me about the moment is that Obama's first impulse wasn't to correct Roberts on this relatively trivial error, but rather it was to continue along with the oath, helping Roberts save face.

Now personally I don't think John Roberts needs any face-saving, but I'm glad that we have a President whose first reaction was driven by a combination of empathy and a desire to salvage the best out of an imperfect situation.

Those are two qualities we're going to need a lot of in the next few years, and we're fortunate to have them in our President.

A Goofy Moment From The Parade

Al Roker gets his first "interview" with a President...and that President (code name, Obama) tells him "it's warm out" -- despite 15 degree whether. Posted over at Daily Kos TV.

President Obama

It's official. Update: Here's video of the swearing in.

Update 2: Whoa -- check out whitehouse.gov. Awesome!

Update 3: I've posted the full video of President Obama's inaugural speech over at Daily Kos TV. Keep in mind that it's still in beta, so your mileage may vary. If you play it and have problems, I'd love it if you'd drop a comment in, or send me an e-mail. Thanks!

The Obamas Arrive At The White House

I just posted video over at Daily Kos TV of the Obamas arriving at the White House before the inauguration.

9 More Hours

Our long national nightmare of George W. Bush and his conservative GOP is finally ending!

And with President Obama's leadership and our active engagement in political affairs as citizens, America's resurgence is just about to begin.

Introducing Daily Kos TV beta

So I can finally talk about the project that I've been mentioning from time to time (and with greater frequency of late): it's Daily Kos TV, the newest Daily Kos site.

It's a political news video blog featuring original content and the best video from across the web, and it's now in beta.

Check it out at www.DailyKosTV.com.

The first video featured on DKTV is a higher resolution version of the election night video I put together after November 4.

Come on over and peek around -- and please share your thoughts and suggestions, either on this thread or by e-mail.

I'm looking forward to hearing what you have to say -- without doubt, you'll have some great ideas to improve it!

The Fierce Urgency Of Now

The I Have A Dream Speech, delivered August 28, 1963, 45 years to the day before Barack Obama accepted the Democratic nomination for the presidency of the United States of America:

One day to history

For the past couple of days, I've just about completely missed all the coverage of the pre-inaugural celebration, save for about 2 minutes of NBC News that I just watched.

This wasn't by design -- it was a function of a my continued focus on the project I've referred to before, which I expect to be able to finally explain later this afternoon, and on spending Saturday accompanying a friend to some family functions, and then driving down to San Diego with her.

But while I know that I missed a beautiful concert today, for me personally, this short break from the pomp and circumstance has helped remind me of the extraordinary magnitude of what happened on November 4 when this country elected Barack Obama president.

Imagine for a moment that America had rejected Barack Obama on the basis of race, and instead elected John McCain. Obvioiusly, that type of discrimination would have been painful for Obama. But the country would have suffered even graver consequences by arbitrarily dismissing a candidate on the basis of skin color.

Fortunately, that's not what happened, and now one day after the day celebrating the life and vision of Martin Luther King, America will inaugurate it's first African-American president. And the story here isn't just about a black man being given the opportunity to be president -- it's also about a nation giving itself the opportunity to get back on track by electing the best person for the job, regardless of their race or gender.

Republiclowns

The leading lights of the right wing freak show (Anne Coulter and Rush Limbaugh) accuse Markos of having an unintelligible accent (he doesn't, FWIW), and attacks the Democratic Party as the party of immigrants.

Which raises the question: what exactly is wrong with representing citizens who moved to the United States because they want to live in this great nation?

Does Rush and Coulter really think that my grandpa, who moved to the U.S. during the Holocaust after escaping World War II (and still has an accent) should be expatriated back to Germany? Is that really what they want the GOP platform to be?

Obama, 'Miracle' Pilot Speak By Phone

The call took place at 6:45PM Eastern:

Incoming White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs said in a statement that President-elect Obama and US Airways Captain Chelsy Sullenberger had a five-minute phone call Friday:

"At 6:45 PM, President-elect Obama spoke with Capt. Chesley Sullenberger III, the pilot of US Airways flight 1549," wrote Gibbs.

"The President-elect told Capt. Sullenberger how proud everyone was for the heroic and graceful job he had done in landing the damaged aircraft yesterday.

"The President-elect also thanked his crew and the many people on the scene in New York for ensuring the safety of everyone on board the plane."

Somehow, during his farewell speech, Bush couldn't be troubled to even mention the heroism of not just Sullenberger but the passengers and rescuers.

GOP Rep. Steve King's middle name...

...must begin with an 'a' and end with a 'hole.' Politico brings us the latest -- now he's complaining that Obama is getting sworn in with his middle name, Hussein:

The congressman says he doubts Obama's sincerity when he explained that he chose to use his middle name so as to be historically consistent with past inaugurations, when America has heard the full names of its presidents echo from the inaugural stand.

"Whatever his reasons are," King said, "the one he gave us could not be the reason."

He continued: "The society is a little strange about this. If you're speaking the truth and in an effort to be objective, there should be nothing off limits in a free society, [but] there are many biases building and clearly a double-standard."

When the GOP wonders why it has sub-zero approval ratings, they need look no further than clowns like King.

Good riddance

America will breathe a collective sigh of relief in 45 minutes when shrub gives his farewell speech.

I think I'm going to watch it. Are you?

As for the meaning of the Bush presidency, I think the kindest thing you can say about it is that W. proved that anyone can be president -- even the incompetent yet privileged scion of a powerful political family that includes several members of Skull and Bones and a former President.

Err...that's not exactly a positive, I guess.

Whatever. I sure am glad that in 2008 we actually had a merit-based election though.

Unbelievable

75% of Republicans approve of the job George W. Bush is doing as president of the damage George W. Bush did to America and the world.

75% percent!

That's just amazing. Nothing good happened while he was president, and much of the blame for that falls on his shoulders. And it's not like he actually delivered anything meaningful to the GOP base, other than creating one hell of a mess for Barack Obama.

I mean, he abandoned the free market. Abortion is still legal. And it's still illegal to shoot target practice in your local supermarket shopping lot.

So what the hell do these crazy GOPers see in shrub? They are just weird.

Today vs. yesterday

Yesterday:

We're still awaiting confirmation that this is indeed Will's house from the transition, but your pool is satisfied with the documentation.

Your pool has been told it's a dinner party.

And, thanks to an enterprising photographer, a shot through a window showed op-ed stalwarts William Kristol and David Brooks are also part of this unlikely gathering of tight, right suits.

Today:

Obama held a meeting with several columnists and liberal commentators this morning, following up on last night's dinner with conservative writers, according to sources with knowledge of the meeting.

The group included the Washington Post's E.J. Dionne and Eugene Robinson, the Wall Street Journal's Gerry Seib, National Journal's Ron Brownstein, the New York Times Frank Rich and Maureen Dowd, The Atlantic's Andrew Sullivan, and MSNBC's Rachel Maddow, among others.

Yesterday must have sucked. But today sounds pretty cool (with an exception or two).

Back and gone again

I've made a ton of progress on the project that I'm working on, and hope to be able to announce some more details about it in the next couple of days. (It's focused on video, and if you've liked Jed Report, especially during the campaign, you're going to really like it.)

I've still got a lot more work that I need to do, so my posting will continue to be irregular this week in anticipation of the inauguration. I'm missing blogging, but I think this short interlude is going to be worth it, especially now that it's the "lull" before the inauguration.

(It does feel weird calling this a "lull." Obama has already been such an active President-elect that it's nearly impossible to imagine him getting even more engaged next week when he's actually President of the United States. It's almost like the inauguration is almost more important as a catharsis than as the actual transfer of power, which has been going on now it feels like for months, dating back to July, when our Iraq policy began to move towards his withdrawal timeline approach.)

Anyway, one other semi-political thing that I wanted to mention was just how unseasonably warm the weather has been in Las Vegas. I'm not saying that to lord over those of you who are in the frigid depths of winter in the midwest, though if it helped boost tourism here, that'd be great. We need it. Even though it's in the mid-60s temperature wise (well above normal for this time of year), tourism traffic is in the dumps.

But even though the weather is been above normal in parts of the country like Las Vegas, the focus of the right-wing media, led by Drudge, has been on the cold temperatures elsewhere. It's true that it's so cold there that's of news value, but the reason why Drudge spends so much time focusing on it is because he thinks it disproves global warming.

You can cherry-pick in both directions, and just like what is happening in Las Vegas isn't proof of global warming, the chill in Chicago isn't proof that isn't.

This ties back in with something that Obama has said from the very beginning of his campaign, that transforming our energy policy is one of the three most important objectives of his presidency, along with getting out of iraq and creating universal health care.

Given the incredible economic opportunities that will flow from developing new, clean and renewable and domestic sources of energy, and given what it would mean for our national security, I can't think of anything more important for Obama's agenda in the next four -- and hopefully eight -- years.

And it's incredibly reassuring that Obama thinks that way too.

So with that, only six more days. Six freaking days! Wooo!

A two-day near-hiatus

I'm in the finishing stages of working on a project I've talked about a few times in the past, but as I make the final push, I need to take a couple of days to focus on it more or less exclusively.

Consequently, today and tomorrow, I'm going to take a hiatus from blogging, though I might sneak in a quick comment or two, and will update a headline or two.

In the meantime, I can recommend Paul Krugman's constructive op-ed in today's NYT offering specific ideas for President-elect Obama's economic recovery plan. He's got some good ideas that will be good for the economy, and anything that's good for the economy is also good politics.

DirecTV Hoses Football Fans In Las Vegas

So I turn on the TV to watch the Eagles vs. Giants and what do I get?

A lovely screen saying: "No need to call us - we are aware that this TV station is temporarily unavailable... We'll have this channel back as quickly as possible. Sorry for the interruption."

Lovely.

Updated with screenshot (10:40AM):

DirecTV

Update 2 (10:53AM):

It sounds like part of the problem might be the local FOX station is having problems with its broadcast tower. Believe it or not, DirecTV relies on an over-the-air signal to broadcast to all of its customers in Vegas.

In any event, they've enabled another feed of the game to watch it in Standard Definition, whcih is better than nothing, but given the amount I pay to DirecTV each month, it's absurd that their HD signal is broken. They should get a direct feed, like the cable company does.

Update 3 (11:23AM):

D* has now made an HD channel from Los Angeles, 399, available. Good move, but it shouldn't have taken so long.

Not a slogan

President-elect Barack Obama shows John McCain what it means to put country first.

She's a real weirdo

Sarah Palin goes nuclear on the Anchorage Daily News for supposedly spreading rumors that she's not really the mother of Trig. The ADN's editor denies Palin's attacks, saying they were doing a story to show how false rumors spread. In the end, because Palin wouldn't cooperate, the ADN killed its story and printed nothing.

I gotta' figure the reason why Palin won't supply the information proving that she's Trig's mom isn't that she's not Trig's mom, it's that she loves all the sympathy backlash she gets when her motherhood is questioned. Then again, is Palin smart enough to think like that?

Poll: Minnesotans Oppose Coleman Lawsuit, Favor Seating Franken

I've got a new post up at Daily Kos with the results from our latest poll in Minnesota.

Some highlights:

  • Just 34% support Coleman's legal challenge
  • 47% support seating Franken, 37% oppose
  • Just 17% think the recount process has been unfair to Coleman
  • 58% have an unfavaborable view of Coleman
  • Franken has a net favorable of +4, 49/45.

Full results here.

Roland Burris ain't got nothing on the Georges Bush

For all the grief that Roland Burris has taken for building a totally bizarre mausoleum for himself, and for naming his kids Roland and Rolanda, it's worth pausing to remember that however monumental and distasteful his ego might be, it doesn't even come close to holding a candle to the self-regard of the Bush clan.

BushBush

BushBush

Last weekend, you had H.W. threatening to inflict his second son upon the nation as President (Dear Lord, please, no!), and today, his first son (who give us the 2nd and 3rd terms of a president named George Bush) helped commission an entire aircraft carrier named after his father.

So while I'm admittedly no great fan of Roland Burris, I'll take his awe-inspiring ego any day of the week  over that of either of the Bush presidents, and I'll do so happily.

WaPo:

A narrow majority of Americans favor the Democratic leadership's efforts to put a $775 billion economic stimulus package on President-elect Barack Obama's desk quickly after he takes office. A Gallup poll released yesterday found 53 percent in favor of such a bill, 36 percent opposed.

Broader majorities backed several specific components of Obama's plan -- including tax cuts for individuals, families and businesses and increased spending on infrastructure -- while fewer were in favor of expanded aid to state governments.

Along party lines, Democrats expressed broadest support for the overall plan (67 percent), followed by a slim majority of independents who backed it (54 percent); 34 percent of Republicans said they support the bill. Ideological leanings, however, further divide the GOP. Moderate and liberal Republicans were about evenly split on the plan (46 percent in favor, 44 percent opposed), while conservative GOPers tilted heavily against the package (68 percent opposed it).

Turning to the policies that may make up such a plan, more than seven in 10 told Gallup's pollsters they backed job creation via spending on infrastructure (78 percent favor), tax cuts for businesses to encourage job creation (75 percent) and tax cuts of up to $1,000 for families and $500 for individuals (72 percent).

The key lesson to draw from this might be that the best political strategy is to focus on the individual pieces of the stimulus and the benefits they will drive rather than the overal size of the package.

To that end, it makes sense to think of the bill in terms of a package including $310 billion in tax stimulus and $465 billion in infrastructure and other reinvestment programs.

The question then becomes, how to tweak each component -- should the business tax cuts be reduced in favor of individual tax cuts? Should the reinvestment portion of the bill grow?

One last point: isn't it just amazing that the debate we are having isn't whether or not to have a massive stimulus, it's whether the stimulus is massive enough?

President-elect Obama's Economic Speech

Here's highlights from the speech (full video here):

Full text of the speech below:

Obama open to larger economic recovery plan

Updated with video (6:15PM):

Original post:

In an interview to be broadcast tonight at 8PM on CNBC, President-Elect Obama told John Harwood that that his recovery and reinvestment plan could get larger.

Harwood pressed Obama on arguments by economists who say $775 billion isn't enough. Obama's answer:

We've seen ranges from $800 to $1.3 trillion and our attitude was that given the legislative process, if we start towards the low end of that, we'll see how it develops.

Bush & The Porn Bailout

I couldn't resist. Think Progress has the story.

Bush Bailout

Back in Sin City

I flew back to Vegas from Orlando this AM -- just sat down at PC to check out what's going on. I don't suppose Norm Coleman as conceded yet? Ha!

Blair House Unbooked When Bush Refused Obama Request

Keith O. and Margaret Carlson have the scoop:

So what's the real story?

Did Cheney store the missing e-mails there?

Perhaps Bush simply wanted to make sure he had a spare room in case a former Australian PM needed a place to crash.

Or maybe W just takes pleasure in being an a-hole until the bitter end.

Coleman makes it official: He's suing

Reid: Franken is Senator-elect, Coleman should concede

Harry Reid just delivered a message to Norm Coleman from the floor of the United States Senate, calling Al Franken the "Senator-elect" from the state of Minnesota, and saying it was time for Coleman to concede his defeat.

New Senators sworn in, sans Burris and Franken

The Dem dominated 111th Congress gets underway.

Tax cuts are besides the point

Over the past 24 hours, people have mostly focused on the tax cut elements of President-elect Obama's economic recovery plan. From a short-term political perspective, that might be a good thing, but I don't really think it's the most important aspect of his plan.

Spread over two years, the tax cuts are pretty much in line with the $131 billion in tax cuts that the 2008 stimulus plan offered. While that plan didn't turn the economy around, eliminating those tax cuts in the middle of a recession doesn't seem wise. Moreover, Obama campaigned on these tax cuts, so it's not like they are unexpected.

The only question that is really important here is whether or not the package will work. The current stimulus plan envisions $405-$465 billion for infrastructure, health care, and other projects over the next two years. Will that, combined with continuing the 2008 tax cut stimulus levels, turn this economy around?

There's a lot of focus on the number of Republican votes that this bill gets. But the number of Republican votes that this bill gets has no lasting political value.

George W. Bush won the support of half the Democratic caucus for the Iraq War Resolution. As it turns out, despite his bipartisan success, the IWR was one of the most disastrous pieces of legislation of his presidency.

The point here is that the the only real thing that matters is results. So from a political point of view, there is absolutely no reason to compromise more than necessary to get a bill passed -- not for partisan reasons, but rather because we need the best possible bill to get passed.

If the legislation passes with 62 votes and the economy grows at a healthy pace in 2011 and 2012, Obama will win an easy re-election. If the legislation passes with 85 votes and the economy gets worse, he'll have a tough road.

The point is: the best politics is also the best policy. To the extent that GOPers have good ideas, bring them on board. If $775 billion is the number this economy needs, go for it.

But if the real number is $1.15 trillion (to pick a number from thin air) and that means the bill will pass narrowly, go for the $1.15 trillion. It's not just the right thing to do, it's also the best politics.

Bill O'Reilly Declares A Winner: Norm Coleman

Oops!

h/t: Media Matters

He's lawyering up

Coleman pledges to sue in the next 24 hours to drag out the process of Senator-elect Franken's victory.

Coleman getting ready to quit?

Former Senator Norm Coleman's lawyer has raised the possibility that Coleman won't file a legal contest:

Asked whether Coleman would sue, Coleman recount lawyer Fritz Knaak said: "He doesn't have to make that decision yet. I have no reason at this time ... to believe we aren't going to be contesting this thing if we're down at the end of the day."

"The only thing that could waver or change that would be a call from Norm Coleman saying, 'I don't think so,' and I don't see that coming," Knaak said.

One the one hand, Knaak is still signaling Coleman's predilection to litigation. On the other hand, this is the first time that Coleman's camp has publicly raised the possibility of conceding.

The reason? Even they know the numbers won't change by much:

"It's conceivable, I'm not saying probable or likely, but conceivable that in a ... [court] contest, we could see these numbers change by hundreds on both sides," he said. "Everything is on the table and it's a different game."

It's time for Coleman to give up, and this seems like the first signal that he might just do the right thing. But if I were a betting man, I wouldn't exactly bet on it.

Examining the stimulus package

The NYT and WSJ take a look at the emerging details surrounding President-elect Obama's stimulus package, particularly the roughly $300 billion in proposed tax cuts.

Overall, the package will cover a two-year period with a price-tag of $675 billion to $775 billion, $270 billion to $310 billion of which would be spent on tax cuts. The balance -- $405 billion to $465 billion -- would be spent on infrastracture, health care, and other programs.

One thing to keep in mind is that in early 2008 Congress passed a $131 billion tax cut stimulus plan covering one year. Therefore, while $300 billion over two years might seem like a lot, it's actually the same level of spending as we saw in 2008.

The problem, of course, was that the 2008 tax cut stimulus didn't do much, if any, good.

Since the tax cut portion of the stimulus will more or less be a continuation of the 2008 tax cut stimulus, the real change from 2008 will be the $405 to $465 billion in spending on infrastracture, health care, and other projects.

On an annual basis, this is about $203 to $233 billion dollars in actual stimulus spending.

In 2007, the U.S. GDP was roughly $13.8 trillionOur GDP is roughly $14.4 trillion, so that means the "new" part of the stimulus package will be about 1.5% of GDP.

GOP leader calls Obama "President" two weeks before inauguration

Ha!

I guess he better get used it!

Another thought on Reid's open door

Here's another part of Reid's MTP interview:

If Blagojevich would do the right thing, that is step down, or he'll probably be impeached.  And he gave us Mr. Burris, he gave us Jesse Jackson Jr., Danny Davis, Madigan, all the fine people who we have from Illinois, they would be taken care of just like this.

...And then if Pat Quinn--who I've spoken to, a very fine man who's the lieutenant governor--would become the acting governor or the governor, he wants to appoint Burris or anyone else, that would be fine.

Everyone agrees Quinn will be governor sooner or later, probably sooner. If he were to say he that he plans to appoint Burris to the seat if he takes office, that would give senators all the cover they need to just get this issue over with, even if they seat Burris while Blago is still in office -- but on his way out.

Reid Cracks Open Door To Burris

This is fairly significant:

MR. GREGORY: How does this end?  Do you think Roland Burris will be in the United States Senate?

SEN. REID: It's going to be very, be very difficult for that to occur.  I've learned being in--a senator for the time I have that anything can happen.  The best thing that would happen, as I've indicated on this program and I've said before...

MR. GREGORY: Mm-hmm.

SEN. REID: ...Blagojevich should step down.  He should do it today.  If not, he'll be impeached.  And I--and that's prior to his being...

MR. GREGORY: But are you willing to go to the mat on this to deny Roland Burris, if it requires going to the Supreme Court?  Is it worth that effort?

SEN. REID: The state of Illinois deserves a vote in the United States Senate, and the people of the state of Illinois, the fifth most populous state in the union, deserve that vote.  It's too bad Blagojevich has diverted attention from the real issue.  And we'll--we're--as I've indicated, we're going to come--I'm going to meet with Senator McConnell, my Republican counterpart.  I hope to do that Monday evening.  I think it's around 6:00 or something like that.  We'll talk about this.  I hope we can solve this issue on a bipartisan basis.

MR. GREGORY: But there sounds to me like there may be some room here to negotiate and actually seat Burris?

SEN. REID: Hey, listen, David, I'm an old trial lawyer.  There's always room to negotiate.

MR. GREGORY: All right, so you're not saying no completely that he won't serve?

SEN. REID: That's right.

Reid is still adamant that Blago should not have appointed Burris, and that the Senate has the power to block him. But there's a difference between asserting a power and pledging to use it.

So why the shift?

One reason is that the impeachment and eventual removal of Blagojevich from office is going to make this issue go away, politically. Once Blago is gone, the perception of taint surrounding Burris will be lessened.

But the other reason may have to do with Al Franken's victory in Minnesota.

As Nate Silver points out, now that Franken has scored an unexpectedly wide margin -- essentially erasing Coleman's path to the Senate and making it likely that Franken will soon be seated -- the Senate will have 99 seated members.

As Nate reminds us, with 98 seated members, Democrats need just 59 votes to achieve the three-fifths supermajority needed to defeat Republican filibusters, but with 99 senators, they will need 60 votes.

That means that as far as breaking filibusters go, there would not have been an advantage to seating Burris alone (in the absence of Franken). With or without Burris, Dems would have been 2 votes shy of the supermajority. But with Franken added to the mix, Burris becomes the difference between 1 votes and 2 votes.

So in a weird way, it might turn out to be the case that Roland Burris is Al Franken's biggest fan.

The Strange Case of Bruce Ivins

The NYT takes a detailed look at the incredible story of the FBI's anthrax suspect, Bruce Ivins.

Funny

Heh:

WARSAW (Reuters) - A Polish man got the shock of his life when he visited a brothel and spotted his wife among the establishment's employees.

 

Polish tabloid Super Express said the woman had been making some extra money on the side while telling her husband she worked at a store in a nearby town.

 

"I was dumfounded. I thought I was dreaming," the husband told the newspaper on Wednesday.

 

The couple, married for 14 years, are now divorcing, the newspaper reported.

For some sharp-witted humor

Might I suggest The Red Phone at http://mxrk.net/

Steny Hoyer gives up before the battle

Worthless punk:

WASHINGTON - Don't expect Congress to have an economic recovery plan ready for Barack Obama when he takes office on Jan. 20.

That's the word from House's No. 2 Democrat, Majority Leader Steny Hoyer of Maryland.

Hoyer says it would be tough to get a massive spending plan together that early. Hoyer says it is more likely that the House will finish its part by the end of January. He hopes that something will be available for Obama to sign by mid-February.

Obama will meet with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid on the stimulus package on Monday.

Hoyer spoke on "Fox News Sunday."

Instead of hitting the ground running, Hoyer seems to want to hit the ground crawling.

The problem here is that by talking about the stimulus as a February action item, Hoyer is simultaneously putting March in play, undermining the narrative that the GOP are the obstructionists, and also emboldening those in the GOP who want to delay and drag out the stimulus as long as possible.

He'd make Joe Lieberman proud.

The Bush Recession In His Own Words

Get out your popcorn for more of Bush talking about the economy (and denying his recession) than you ever hoped to see (also posted at Daily Kos):

On December 1, the National Bureau of Economic Research confirmed what had become obvious to most economic observers earlier this year: the United States has been in a recession since late 2007.

The most remarkable feature of this recession - which should be forever remembered as the Bush Recession (I first heard the term from Kossack barath) -- may be George W. Bush's steadfast refusal to accept its existence.

For almost the entire year, Bush denied that we were in a recession, saying that our economic problem was merely one of "slow growth" -- slower than he would like, he said, but growth nonetheless.

But now, despite Bush's denials, we know conclusively what has been fairly obvious all along: we're 13 months into what is already the second-longest recession since the Great Depression. (There were two recessions of 16 months, the most recent in 1981 and 1982.)

In the video above, I assemble clips of Bush on the topic of the economy from January through December of last year, capturing his head-in-sand approach.

It's not exactly "Frost/Nixon," but it is important to assemble the evidence of Bush's error-ridden presidency so that we can learn from the disaster that was his term in office, and never again offer such massive powers to such an incompetent fool.

AP "analysis": Bush's personality shapes his legacy

AP's Ben Feller offers more Halperin-bait:

WASHINGTON - President George W. Bush will be judged on what he did. He will also be remembered for what he's like: a fast-moving, phrase-mangling Texan who stays upbeat even though his country is not.

For eight years, the nation has been led by a guy who relaxes by clearing brush in scorching heat and taking breakneck bike rides through the woods. He dishes out nicknames to world leaders, and even gave the German chancellor an impromptu, perhaps unwelcome, neck rub. He's annoyed when kept waiting and sticks relentlessly to routine. He stays optimistic in even the most dire circumstances, but readily tears up in public. He has little use for looking within himself, and only lately has done much looking back.

Bush's style and temperament are as much his legacy as his decisions. Policy shapes lives, but personality creates indelible memories -- positive and negative.

Call it distinctly Bush.

They still haven't realized that this isn't about Bush's personality. It's about the damage his presidency has caused.

A lot of people like Bush. They just don't like what he's done.

Perhaps the most important part of the Amar and Chafetz argument is that even if we knew for certain that there had been no quid pro quo between Burris and Blago, there would still be very good reason to keep Burris out of the Senate.

To be sure, there is no evidence Burris bribed the governor to get this seat. But imagine if Burris had won election only because other candidates were wrongly and corruptly kept off the ballot. Surely the Senate could properly deem this an invalid election. Similarly, it now seems apparent that there were candidates that Blagojevich refused to consider for improper reasons--because one refused to "pay to play" early on, or because another is at the center of the impending criminal case against the governor.

The key point here is that there are at least two ways in which Blago's appointment could be improper. (1) There could be a deal with Burris. (2) Candidates who refused to bribe Blago could be excluded from consideration.

We can be almost certain that (2) has taken place. We don't know about (1), though most suspect that it hasn't. But that doesn't matter. The appointment process has still been corrupted.

The bottom-line is that when you have a Governor who was trying to sell a Senate seat, there is virtually no way for him (or her) to make an appointment that isn't tainted by his (or her) corruption.

Full text:

Hmm, weird

Update (5:16AM Pacific): Sounds like the video pretty much isn't working for anybody. Thanks for checking!

Original post: So I'm doing some research for a video I plan to post on Sunday about some of Bush's statements in the run-up to his final admission that we are in the middle of the Bush Recession, and I'm running into a problem playing videos at CNN.com.

I get this message saying that

"The video system was not able to establish connectivity due to a Proxy/Firewall or network connectivity."

At the moment, I'm logging on via a Comcast cable modem.

Onward rightwing soldier!

Maroons. Or Morans. Or whatever.

My point is that RedState.com thinks what it needs is the "RedState Army" to defeat progressives.

Here's their logo battle shield:

asf

Seriously, could these guys be bigger tools, poseurs, and dunces?

They still don't get it

Bush CoS Josh Bolten and national security adviser Stephen Hadley still think the reason why Bush is unpopular is because the country didn't get to see what a rosy personality he had:

Bolten said another of his goals when he took over was to try to get the country to see the likable boss he and other aides saw in private, convinced that would boost Bush's popularity. "I failed miserably," he conceded. "Maybe in the beginning of the sixth year of a presidency, that's a quixotic task. . . . But everybody who has actual personal exposure to the president, almost everybody, appreciates what a good leader he is, how smart he is and, especially, how humane he is."

Hadley invoked Bush's 2000 campaign theme in summing up the president's personal qualities. "He has got this great compassion which was not just a slogan, 'compassionate conservative.' It is who he is. It is one of the great things he brought to this office," Hadley concluded. "This is the one thing that just drives me crazy, that somehow this is an arrogant administration, an arrogant president running an arrogant policy. This guy -- one thing he is not is arrogant."

Here's the thing these guys need to get through their thick skulls: the American public has rendered a sour verdict on the Bush Presidency because of what he has done.

This isn't about personality. It's about the fact that Bush is one of the few presidents in history who has left this country in worse condition than when he arrived.

These two clowns still don't understand that the problem isn't the "do I want to have a beer with him?" test, it's the "did he do a good job?" test.

And in case they haven't figured it out yet, the answer is 'no.'

A Most Satisfying Column

Paul Krugman absolutely, totally nailed it in his New Year's Day column ripping the modern GOP to shreds.

Ben Harper Does The Beatles

This might be old hat for a lot of folks, but I just saw the end of "I am Sam" with my family here in Mt. Dora, Florida, and the movie had a cover of a Ben Harper performing "Strawberry Fields Forever" that I'd never heard before. It was a pretty good cover (though admittedly I'm a big fan of Ben Harper, so I'm biased).

Anyway, here's a YouTube of him doing it live on The Tonight Show:

Funny

This 1/1/09 thing is taking a little getting used to. Josh captures it well:

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