The Jed Report

Sat Jan 10, 11:49 PM Pacific

She's a real weirdo

Sarah Palin goes nuclear on the Anchorage Daily News for supposedly spreading rumors that she's not really the mother of Trig. The ADN's editor denies Palin's attacks, saying they were doing a story to show how false rumors spread. In the end, because Palin wouldn't cooperate, the ADN killed its story and printed nothing.

I gotta' figure the reason why Palin won't supply the information proving that she's Trig's mom isn't that she's not Trig's mom, it's that she loves all the sympathy backlash she gets when her motherhood is questioned. Then again, is Palin smart enough to think like that?

I've got a new post up at Daily Kos with the results from our latest poll in Minnesota.

Some highlights:

  • Just 34% support Coleman's legal challenge
  • 47% support seating Franken, 37% oppose
  • Just 17% think the recount process has been unfair to Coleman
  • 58% have an unfavaborable view of Coleman
  • Franken has a net favorable of +4, 49/45.

Full results here.

For all the grief that Roland Burris has taken for building a totally bizarre mausoleum for himself, and for naming his kids Roland and Rolanda, it's worth pausing to remember that however monumental and distasteful his ego might be, it doesn't even come close to holding a candle to the self-regard of the Bush clan.

BushBush

BushBush

Last weekend, you had H.W. threatening to inflict his second son upon the nation as President (Dear Lord, please, no!), and today, his first son (who give us the 2nd and 3rd terms of a president named George Bush) helped commission an entire aircraft carrier named after his father.

So while I'm admittedly no great fan of Roland Burris, I'll take his awe-inspiring ego any day of the week  over that of either of the Bush presidents, and I'll do so happily.

WaPo:

A narrow majority of Americans favor the Democratic leadership's efforts to put a $775 billion economic stimulus package on President-elect Barack Obama's desk quickly after he takes office. A Gallup poll released yesterday found 53 percent in favor of such a bill, 36 percent opposed.

Broader majorities backed several specific components of Obama's plan -- including tax cuts for individuals, families and businesses and increased spending on infrastructure -- while fewer were in favor of expanded aid to state governments.

Along party lines, Democrats expressed broadest support for the overall plan (67 percent), followed by a slim majority of independents who backed it (54 percent); 34 percent of Republicans said they support the bill. Ideological leanings, however, further divide the GOP. Moderate and liberal Republicans were about evenly split on the plan (46 percent in favor, 44 percent opposed), while conservative GOPers tilted heavily against the package (68 percent opposed it).

Turning to the policies that may make up such a plan, more than seven in 10 told Gallup's pollsters they backed job creation via spending on infrastructure (78 percent favor), tax cuts for businesses to encourage job creation (75 percent) and tax cuts of up to $1,000 for families and $500 for individuals (72 percent).

The key lesson to draw from this might be that the best political strategy is to focus on the individual pieces of the stimulus and the benefits they will drive rather than the overal size of the package.

To that end, it makes sense to think of the bill in terms of a package including $310 billion in tax stimulus and $465 billion in infrastructure and other reinvestment programs.

The question then becomes, how to tweak each component -- should the business tax cuts be reduced in favor of individual tax cuts? Should the reinvestment portion of the bill grow?

One last point: isn't it just amazing that the debate we are having isn't whether or not to have a massive stimulus, it's whether the stimulus is massive enough?

Thu Jan 8, 8:11 AM Pacific

President-elect Obama's Economic Speech

Here's highlights from the speech (full video here):

Full text of the speech below:

 


Remarks of President-Elect Barack Obama

As Prepared for Delivery

American Recovery and Reinvestment

Thursday, January 8, 2009

 

Throughout America's history, there have been some years that simply rolled into the next without much notice or fanfare.  Then there are the years that come along once in a generation - the kind that mark a clean break from a troubled past, and set a new course for our nation.

 

This is one of those years. 

 

We start 2009 in the midst of a crisis unlike any we have seen in our lifetime - a crisis that has only deepened over the last few weeks.  Nearly two million jobs have now been lost, and on Friday we are likely to learn that we lost more jobs last year than at any time since World War II.  Just in the past year, another 2.8 million Americans who want and need full-time work have had to settle for part-time jobs.  Manufacturing has hit a twenty-eight year low.  Many businesses cannot borrow or make payroll.  Many families cannot pay their bills or their mortgage.  Many workers are watching their life savings disappear.  And many, many Americans are both anxious and uncertain of what the future will hold. 

 

I don't believe it's too late to change course, but it will be if we don't take dramatic action as soon as possible.  If nothing is done, this recession could linger for years.  The unemployment rate could reach double digits.  Our economy could fall $1 trillion short of its full capacity, which translates into more than $12,000 in lost income for a family of four.  We could lose a generation of potential and promise, as more young Americans are forced to forgo dreams of college or the chance to train for the jobs of the future.  And our nation could lose the competitive edge that has served as a foundation for our strength and standing in the world. 

 

In short, a bad situation could become dramatically worse.  

 

This crisis did not happen solely by some accident of history or normal turn of the business cycle, and we won't get out of it by simply waiting for a better day to come, or relying on the worn-out dogmas of the past.  We arrived at this point due to an era of profound irresponsibility that stretched from corporate boardrooms to the halls of power in Washington, DC.  For years, too many Wall Street executives made imprudent and dangerous decisions, seeking profits with too little regard for risk, too little regulatory scrutiny, and too little accountability.  Banks made loans without concern for whether borrowers could repay them, and some borrowers took advantage of cheap credit to take on debt they couldn't afford.  Politicians spent taxpayer money without wisdom or discipline, and too often focused on scoring political points instead of the problems they were sent here to solve.  The result has been a devastating loss of trust and confidence in our economy, our financial markets, and our government. 

 

Now, the very fact that this crisis is largely of our own making means that it is not beyond our ability to solve.  Our problems are rooted in past mistakes, not our capacity for future greatness.  It will take time, perhaps many years, but we can rebuild that lost trust and confidence.  We can restore opportunity and prosperity.  We should never forget that our workers are still more productive than any on Earth.  Our universities are still the envy of the world.  We are still home to the most brilliant minds, the most creative entrepreneurs, and the most advanced technology and innovation that history has ever known.  And we are still the nation that has overcome great fears and improbable odds.  If we act with the urgency and seriousness that this moment requires, I know that we can do it again.   

 

That is why I have moved quickly to work with my economic team and leaders of both parties on an American Recovery and Reinvestment Plan that will immediately jumpstart job creation and long-term growth. 

 

It's a plan that represents not just new policy, but a whole new approach to meeting our most urgent challenges. For if we hope to end this crisis, we must end the culture of anything goes that helped create it - and this change must begin in Washington.  It is time to trade old habits for a new spirit of responsibility.  It is time to finally change the ways of Washington so that we can set a new and better course for America. 

 

There is no doubt that the cost of this plan will be considerable.  It will certainly add to the budget deficit in the short-term.  But equally certain are the consequences of doing too little or nothing at all, for that will lead to an even greater deficit of jobs, incomes, and confidence in our economy.  It is true that we cannot depend on government alone to create jobs or long-term growth, but at this particular moment, only government can provide the short-term boost necessary to lift us from a recession this deep and severe.  Only government can break the vicious cycles that are crippling our economy - where a lack of spending leads to lost jobs which leads to even less spending; where an inability to lend and borrow stops growth and leads to even less credit. 

 

That is why we need to act boldly and act now to reverse these cycles.  That's why we need to put money in the pockets of the American people, create new jobs, and invest in our future.  That's why we need to re-start the flow of credit and restore the rules of the road that will ensure a crisis like this never happens again. 

 

That work begins with this plan - a plan I am confident will save or create at least three million jobs over the next few years.  It is not just another public works program.  It's a plan that recognizes both the paradox and the promise of this moment - the fact that there are millions of Americans trying to find work, even as, all around the country, there is so much work to be done.   That's why we'll invest in priorities like energy and education; health care and a new infrastructure that are necessary to keep us strong and competitive in the 21st century.  That's why the overwhelming majority of the jobs created will be in the private sector, while our plan will save the public sector jobs of teachers, cops, firefighters and others who provide vital services. 

 

To finally spark the creation of a clean energy economy, we will double the production of alternative energy in the next three years.  We will modernize more than 75% of federal buildings and improve the energy efficiency of two million American homes, saving consumers and taxpayers billions on our energy bills.  In the process, we will put Americans to work in new jobs that pay well and can't be outsourced - jobs building solar panels and wind turbines; constructing fuel-efficient cars and buildings; and developing the new energy technologies that will lead to even more jobs, more savings, and a cleaner, safer planet in the bargain. 

 

To improve the quality of our health care while lowering its cost, we will make the immediate investments necessary to ensure that within five years, all of America's medical records are computerized.  This will cut waste, eliminate red tape, and reduce the need to repeat expensive medical tests.  But it just won't save billions of dollars and thousands of jobs - it will save lives by reducing the deadly but preventable medical errors that pervade our health care system. 

 

To give our children the chance to live out their dreams in a world that's never been more competitive, we will equip tens of thousands of schools, community colleges, and public universities with 21st century classrooms, labs, and libraries.  We'll provide new computers, new technology, and new training for teachers so that students in Chicago and Boston can compete with kids in Beijing for the high-tech, high-wage jobs of the future. 

 

To build an economy that can lead this future, we will begin to rebuild America.  Yes, we'll put people to work repairing crumbling roads, bridges, and schools by eliminating the backlog of well-planned, worthy and needed infrastructure projects.  But we'll also do more to retrofit America for a global economy.  That means updating the way we get our electricity by starting to build a new smart grid that will save us money, protect our power sources from blackout or attack, and deliver clean, alternative forms of energy to every corner of our nation.  It means expanding broadband lines across America, so that a small business in a rural town can connect and compete with their counterparts anywhere in the world.  And it means investing in the science, research, and technology that will lead to new medical breakthroughs, new discoveries, and entire new industries. 

 

Finally, this recovery and reinvestment plan will provide immediate relief to states, workers, and families who are bearing the brunt of this recession.  To get people spending again, 95% of working families will receive a $1,000 tax cut - the first stage of a middle-class tax cut that I promised during the campaign and will include in our next budget.  To help Americans who have lost their jobs and can't find new ones, we'll continue the bipartisan extensions of unemployment insurance and health care coverage to help them through this crisis.  Government at every level will have to tighten its belt, but we'll help struggling states avoid harmful budget cuts, as long as they take responsibility and use the money to maintain essential services like police, fire, education, and health care. 

 

I understand that some might be skeptical of this plan.  Our government has already spent a good deal of money, but we haven't yet seen that translate into more jobs or higher incomes or renewed confidence in our economy.  That's why the American Recovery and Reinvestment Plan won't just throw money at our problems - we'll invest in what works.  The true test of the policies we'll pursue won't be whether they're Democratic or Republican ideas, but whether they create jobs, grow our economy, and put the American Dream within reach of the American people. 

 

Instead of politicians doling out money behind a veil of secrecy, decisions about where we invest will be made transparently, and informed by independent experts wherever possible.  Every American will be able to hold Washington accountable for these decisions by going online to see how and where their tax dollars are being spent.  And as I announced yesterday, we will launch an unprecedented effort to eliminate unwise and unnecessary spending that has never been more unaffordable for our nation and our children's future than it is right now. 

 

We have to make tough choices and smart investments today so that as the economy recovers, the deficit starts to come down.  We cannot have a solid recovery if our people and our businesses don't have confidence that we're getting our fiscal house in order.  That's why our goal is not to create a slew of new government programs, but a foundation for long-term economic growth.

 

That also means an economic recovery plan that is free from earmarks and pet projects.  I understand that every member of Congress has ideas on how to spend money.  Many of these projects are worthy, and benefit local communities.  But this emergency legislation must not be the vehicle for those aspirations.  This must be a time when leaders in both parties put the urgent needs of our nation above our own narrow interests. 

 

Now, this recovery plan alone will not solve all the problems that led us into this crisis.  We must also work with the same sense of urgency to stabilize and repair the financial system we all depend on.  That means using our full arsenal of tools to get credit flowing again to families and business, while restoring confidence in our markets.  It means launching a sweeping effort to address the foreclosure crisis so that we can keep responsible families in their homes.  It means preventing the catastrophic failure of financial institutions whose collapse could endanger the entire economy, but only with maximum protections for taxpayers and a clear understanding that government support for any company is an extraordinary action that must come with significant restrictions on the firms that receive support.  And it means reforming a weak and outdated regulatory system so that we can better withstand financial shocks and better protect consumers, investors, and businesses from the reckless greed and risk-taking that must never endanger our prosperity again. 

 

No longer can we allow Wall Street wrongdoers to slip through regulatory cracks.  No longer can we allow special interests to put their thumbs on the economic scales.  No longer can we allow the unscrupulous lending and borrowing that leads only to destructive cycles of bubble and bust. 

 

It is time to set a new course for this economy, and that change must begin now.  We should have an open and honest discussion about this recovery plan in the days ahead, but I urge Congress to move as quickly as possible on behalf of the American people.  For every day we wait or point fingers or drag our feet, more Americans will lose their jobs.  More families will lose their savings.  More dreams will be deferred and denied.  And our nation will sink deeper into a crisis that, at some point, we may not be able to reverse.

 

That is not the country I know, and it is not a future I will accept as President of the United States.  A world that depends on the strength of our economy is now watching and waiting for America to lead once more.  And that is what we will do. 

 

It will not come easy or happen overnight, and it is altogether likely that things may get worse before they get better.  But that is all the more reason for Congress to act without delay.  I know the scale of this plan is unprecedented, but so is the severity of our situation.  We have already tried the wait-and-see approach to our problems, and it is the same approach that helped lead us to this day of reckoning.  

 

That is why the time has come to build a 21st century economy in which hard work and responsibility are once again rewarded.  That's why I'm asking Congress to work with me and my team day and night, on weekends if necessary, to get the plan passed in the next few weeks.  That's why I'm calling on all Americans - Democrats and Republicans - to put good ideas ahead of the old ideological battles; a sense of common purpose above the same narrow partisanship; and insist that the first question each of us asks isn't "What's good for me?" but "What's good for the country my children will inherit?" 

 

More than any program or policy, it is this spirit that will enable us to confront this challenge with the same spirit that has led previous generations to face down war, depression, and fear itself.  And if we do - if we are able to summon that spirit again; if are able to look out for one another, and listen to one another, and do our part for our nation and for posterity, then I have no doubt that years from now, we will look back on 2009 as one of those years that marked another new and hopeful beginning for the United States of America.  Thank you, God Bless You, and may God Bless America. 

 

###

Wed Jan 7, 4:03 PM Pacific

Obama open to larger economic recovery plan

Updated with video (6:15PM):

Original post:

In an interview to be broadcast tonight at 8PM on CNBC, President-Elect Obama told John Harwood that that his recovery and reinvestment plan could get larger.

Harwood pressed Obama on arguments by economists who say $775 billion isn't enough. Obama's answer:

We've seen ranges from $800 to $1.3 trillion and our attitude was that given the legislative process, if we start towards the low end of that, we'll see how it develops.

Here's the full transcript:

Harwood: Tomorrow you're going to give a speech and talk about your economic stimulus package.

Obama: Right.

Harwood: It looks like it's going to be at the high end of your range, around $775 billion.

Obama: That's correct.

Harwood: If it's correct that, as your aides have said, the danger is doing too little rather than doing too much ...

Obama: Right.

Harwood:  ... why stop at $775 billion? Why not go to the $1.2 trillion that some economists have recommended? Is that because you think that the political figure of a trillion dollars is too politically charged to get over? Is it because you think more spending would be pork rather than stimulus? Or do you think you've figured out exactly the right amount of stimulus that's needed?

Obama: Well, first of all I think it's important to note that every economist, conservative or liberal, at this point agrees that we have to have a substantial recovery plan that helps to jump-start the economy, that short-term it's going to be expensive, but it would be much more expensive to see the economy continue in the tailspin that it's been going in. We've seen ranges from $800 to $1.3 trillion and our attitude was that given the legislative process, if we start towards the low end of that, we'll see how it develops. We are concerned ...

Harwood: It's going to get bigger.

Obama: Well, we don't know yet. But what we are concerned about is making sure that the money is spent wisely, that there's oversight, that there's transparency. We are going to use this money to temporarily boost the economy, to create or save three million jobs, but also to put some down payments on things that we should've been doing over the last several decades that can help create a more competitive U.S. economy. Examples: making sure that we are doubling alternative energy, and creating much more efficiency in our buildings and in our transportation systems, making sure that we are reducing the cost of health care using health information technologies, building up world class schools so that our children are benefiting and can compete in the global economy. So what we want to do is make sure that any money we're spending is, number one, creating jobs, stabilizing the economy, but also is being used prudently so that when we come out of the current stretch that we're in, we're going to see a stronger economy, a better economy, a more efficient economy.

The key point here is Obama is signalling $775 billion is not set in stone. If there is a compelling, pragmatic argument that a larger stimulus is needed, then a larger stimulus might just be what we get.

Wed Jan 7, 2:34 PM Pacific

Bush & The Porn Bailout

I couldn't resist. Think Progress has the story.

Bush Bailout

Wed Jan 7, 1:26 PM Pacific

Back in Sin City

I flew back to Vegas from Orlando this AM -- just sat down at PC to check out what's going on. I don't suppose Norm Coleman as conceded yet? Ha!

Keith O. and Margaret Carlson have the scoop:

So what's the real story?

Did Cheney store the missing e-mails there?

Perhaps Bush simply wanted to make sure he had a spare room in case a former Australian PM needed a place to crash.

Or maybe W just takes pleasure in being an a-hole until the bitter end.

Tue Jan 6, 1:41 PM Pacific

Coleman makes it official: He's suing

Harry Reid just delivered a message to Norm Coleman from the floor of the United States Senate, calling Al Franken the "Senator-elect" from the state of Minnesota, and saying it was time for Coleman to concede his defeat.

The Dem dominated 111th Congress gets underway.

Mon Jan 5, 8:20 PM Pacific

Tax cuts are besides the point

Over the past 24 hours, people have mostly focused on the tax cut elements of President-elect Obama's economic recovery plan. From a short-term political perspective, that might be a good thing, but I don't really think it's the most important aspect of his plan.

Spread over two years, the tax cuts are pretty much in line with the $131 billion in tax cuts that the 2008 stimulus plan offered. While that plan didn't turn the economy around, eliminating those tax cuts in the middle of a recession doesn't seem wise. Moreover, Obama campaigned on these tax cuts, so it's not like they are unexpected.

The only question that is really important here is whether or not the package will work. The current stimulus plan envisions $405-$465 billion for infrastructure, health care, and other projects over the next two years. Will that, combined with continuing the 2008 tax cut stimulus levels, turn this economy around?

There's a lot of focus on the number of Republican votes that this bill gets. But the number of Republican votes that this bill gets has no lasting political value.

George W. Bush won the support of half the Democratic caucus for the Iraq War Resolution. As it turns out, despite his bipartisan success, the IWR was one of the most disastrous pieces of legislation of his presidency.

The point here is that the the only real thing that matters is results. So from a political point of view, there is absolutely no reason to compromise more than necessary to get a bill passed -- not for partisan reasons, but rather because we need the best possible bill to get passed.

If the legislation passes with 62 votes and the economy grows at a healthy pace in 2011 and 2012, Obama will win an easy re-election. If the legislation passes with 85 votes and the economy gets worse, he'll have a tough road.

The point is: the best politics is also the best policy. To the extent that GOPers have good ideas, bring them on board. If $775 billion is the number this economy needs, go for it.

But if the real number is $1.15 trillion (to pick a number from thin air) and that means the bill will pass narrowly, go for the $1.15 trillion. It's not just the right thing to do, it's also the best politics.

Oops!

h/t: Media Matters

Mon Jan 5, 1:19 PM Pacific

He's lawyering up

Coleman pledges to sue in the next 24 hours to drag out the process of Senator-elect Franken's victory.

Mon Jan 5, 7:35 AM Pacific

Coleman getting ready to quit?

Former Senator Norm Coleman's lawyer has raised the possibility that Coleman won't file a legal contest:

Asked whether Coleman would sue, Coleman recount lawyer Fritz Knaak said: "He doesn't have to make that decision yet. I have no reason at this time ... to believe we aren't going to be contesting this thing if we're down at the end of the day."

"The only thing that could waver or change that would be a call from Norm Coleman saying, 'I don't think so,' and I don't see that coming," Knaak said.

One the one hand, Knaak is still signaling Coleman's predilection to litigation. On the other hand, this is the first time that Coleman's camp has publicly raised the possibility of conceding.

The reason? Even they know the numbers won't change by much:

"It's conceivable, I'm not saying probable or likely, but conceivable that in a ... [court] contest, we could see these numbers change by hundreds on both sides," he said. "Everything is on the table and it's a different game."

It's time for Coleman to give up, and this seems like the first signal that he might just do the right thing. But if I were a betting man, I wouldn't exactly bet on it.

Mon Jan 5, 1:25 AM Pacific

Examining the stimulus package

The NYT and WSJ take a look at the emerging details surrounding President-elect Obama's stimulus package, particularly the roughly $300 billion in proposed tax cuts.

Overall, the package will cover a two-year period with a price-tag of $675 billion to $775 billion, $270 billion to $310 billion of which would be spent on tax cuts. The balance -- $405 billion to $465 billion -- would be spent on infrastracture, health care, and other programs.

One thing to keep in mind is that in early 2008 Congress passed a $131 billion tax cut stimulus plan covering one year. Therefore, while $300 billion over two years might seem like a lot, it's actually the same level of spending as we saw in 2008.

The problem, of course, was that the 2008 tax cut stimulus didn't do much, if any, good.

Since the tax cut portion of the stimulus will more or less be a continuation of the 2008 tax cut stimulus, the real change from 2008 will be the $405 to $465 billion in spending on infrastracture, health care, and other projects.

On an annual basis, this is about $203 to $233 billion dollars in actual stimulus spending.

In 2007, the U.S. GDP was roughly $13.8 trillionOur GDP is roughly $14.4 trillion, so that means the "new" part of the stimulus package will be about 1.5% of GDP.

Ha!

I guess he better get used it!

Sun Jan 4, 9:48 PM Pacific

Another thought on Reid's open door

Here's another part of Reid's MTP interview:

If Blagojevich would do the right thing, that is step down, or he'll probably be impeached.  And he gave us Mr. Burris, he gave us Jesse Jackson Jr., Danny Davis, Madigan, all the fine people who we have from Illinois, they would be taken care of just like this.

...And then if Pat Quinn--who I've spoken to, a very fine man who's the lieutenant governor--would become the acting governor or the governor, he wants to appoint Burris or anyone else, that would be fine.

Everyone agrees Quinn will be governor sooner or later, probably sooner. If he were to say he that he plans to appoint Burris to the seat if he takes office, that would give senators all the cover they need to just get this issue over with, even if they seat Burris while Blago is still in office -- but on his way out.

Sun Jan 4, 9:23 PM Pacific

Reid Cracks Open Door To Burris

This is fairly significant:

MR. GREGORY: How does this end?  Do you think Roland Burris will be in the United States Senate?

SEN. REID: It's going to be very, be very difficult for that to occur.  I've learned being in--a senator for the time I have that anything can happen.  The best thing that would happen, as I've indicated on this program and I've said before...

MR. GREGORY: Mm-hmm.

SEN. REID: ...Blagojevich should step down.  He should do it today.  If not, he'll be impeached.  And I--and that's prior to his being...

MR. GREGORY: But are you willing to go to the mat on this to deny Roland Burris, if it requires going to the Supreme Court?  Is it worth that effort?

SEN. REID: The state of Illinois deserves a vote in the United States Senate, and the people of the state of Illinois, the fifth most populous state in the union, deserve that vote.  It's too bad Blagojevich has diverted attention from the real issue.  And we'll--we're--as I've indicated, we're going to come--I'm going to meet with Senator McConnell, my Republican counterpart.  I hope to do that Monday evening.  I think it's around 6:00 or something like that.  We'll talk about this.  I hope we can solve this issue on a bipartisan basis.

MR. GREGORY: But there sounds to me like there may be some room here to negotiate and actually seat Burris?

SEN. REID: Hey, listen, David, I'm an old trial lawyer.  There's always room to negotiate.

MR. GREGORY: All right, so you're not saying no completely that he won't serve?

SEN. REID: That's right.

Reid is still adamant that Blago should not have appointed Burris, and that the Senate has the power to block him. But there's a difference between asserting a power and pledging to use it.

So why the shift?

One reason is that the impeachment and eventual removal of Blagojevich from office is going to make this issue go away, politically. Once Blago is gone, the perception of taint surrounding Burris will be lessened.

But the other reason may have to do with Al Franken's victory in Minnesota.

As Nate Silver points out, now that Franken has scored an unexpectedly wide margin -- essentially erasing Coleman's path to the Senate and making it likely that Franken will soon be seated -- the Senate will have 99 seated members.

As Nate reminds us, with 98 seated members, Democrats need just 59 votes to achieve the three-fifths supermajority needed to defeat Republican filibusters, but with 99 senators, they will need 60 votes.

That means that as far as breaking filibusters go, there would not have been an advantage to seating Burris alone (in the absence of Franken). With or without Burris, Dems would have been 2 votes shy of the supermajority. But with Franken added to the mix, Burris becomes the difference between 1 votes and 2 votes.

So in a weird way, it might turn out to be the case that Roland Burris is Al Franken's biggest fan.

Sun Jan 4, 5:30 PM Pacific

The Strange Case of Bruce Ivins

The NYT takes a detailed look at the incredible story of the FBI's anthrax suspect, Bruce Ivins.

Sun Jan 4, 5:06 PM Pacific

Funny

Heh:

WARSAW (Reuters) - A Polish man got the shock of his life when he visited a brothel and spotted his wife among the establishment's employees.

 

Polish tabloid Super Express said the woman had been making some extra money on the side while telling her husband she worked at a store in a nearby town.

 

"I was dumfounded. I thought I was dreaming," the husband told the newspaper on Wednesday.

 

The couple, married for 14 years, are now divorcing, the newspaper reported.

Sun Jan 4, 1:38 PM Pacific

For some sharp-witted humor

Might I suggest The Red Phone at http://mxrk.net/

Sun Jan 4, 8:49 AM Pacific

Steny Hoyer gives up before the battle

Worthless punk:

WASHINGTON - Don't expect Congress to have an economic recovery plan ready for Barack Obama when he takes office on Jan. 20.

That's the word from House's No. 2 Democrat, Majority Leader Steny Hoyer of Maryland.

Hoyer says it would be tough to get a massive spending plan together that early. Hoyer says it is more likely that the House will finish its part by the end of January. He hopes that something will be available for Obama to sign by mid-February.

Obama will meet with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid on the stimulus package on Monday.

Hoyer spoke on "Fox News Sunday."

Instead of hitting the ground running, Hoyer seems to want to hit the ground crawling.

The problem here is that by talking about the stimulus as a February action item, Hoyer is simultaneously putting March in play, undermining the narrative that the GOP are the obstructionists, and also emboldening those in the GOP who want to delay and drag out the stimulus as long as possible.

He'd make Joe Lieberman proud.

Sun Jan 4, 8:02 AM Pacific

The Bush Recession In His Own Words

Get out your popcorn for more of Bush talking about the economy (and denying his recession) than you ever hoped to see (also posted at Daily Kos):

On December 1, the National Bureau of Economic Research confirmed what had become obvious to most economic observers earlier this year: the United States has been in a recession since late 2007.

The most remarkable feature of this recession - which should be forever remembered as the Bush Recession (I first heard the term from Kossack barath) -- may be George W. Bush's steadfast refusal to accept its existence.

For almost the entire year, Bush denied that we were in a recession, saying that our economic problem was merely one of "slow growth" -- slower than he would like, he said, but growth nonetheless.

But now, despite Bush's denials, we know conclusively what has been fairly obvious all along: we're 13 months into what is already the second-longest recession since the Great Depression. (There were two recessions of 16 months, the most recent in 1981 and 1982.)

In the video above, I assemble clips of Bush on the topic of the economy from January through December of last year, capturing his head-in-sand approach.

It's not exactly "Frost/Nixon," but it is important to assemble the evidence of Bush's error-ridden presidency so that we can learn from the disaster that was his term in office, and never again offer such massive powers to such an incompetent fool.

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